Policy papers 11 January 2016

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Sandbags Outside House On Flooded Road

Assessing surface water flood risk and management strategies under future climate change: an agent-based model approach

a working paper by Katie Jenkins, Swenja Surminski, Jim Hall, Florence Crick  8 February, 2016

Flooding is the costliest natural disaster worldwide. In the UK flooding is listed as a major risk on the National Risk Register with surface water flooding the most likely cause … read more »


Beyond the targets: assessing the political credibility of pledges for the Paris Agreement

a policy report by Alina Averchenkova, Samuela Bassi  1 February, 2016

This report provides the results of an analysis of “intended nationally determined contributions”, or INDCs, that were submitted by countries ahead of the Paris Agreement on climate change. read more »


Water resources transfers through southern African food trade: water efficiency and climate signals

a research article by Carole Dalin, Declan Conway  27 January, 2016

We combine global hydrological model simulations with international food trade data to quantify the water resources embedded in international food trade in southern Africa and with the rest of the world, from 1986–2011. read more »

‘Green growth’ and the new Industrial Revolution

‘Green growth’ and the new Industrial Revolution

a policy report by Alex Bowen, Chris Duffy, Samuel Fankhauser  26 January, 2016

This policy brief summarises the main policy implications of a two-year research programme, sponsored by the Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI), which aimed to contribute to the growing evidence base on green growth. read more »


Well-being dynamics and poverty traps

a working paper by Christopher Barrett, Teevrat Garg, Linden McBride  20 January, 2016

This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical evidence on single and multiple equilibria poverty traps at the macro, meso, and, especially, micro levels. read more »


Climate change policy, innovation and growth

a policy paper by Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Ralf Martin, Samuela Bassi  18 January, 2016

New clean technologies are urgently required to meet long-term global climate goals. Simulating the development of these technologies has become worldwide policy priority. This policy brief uses the … read more »


The competitiveness impact of a UK carbon price: what do the data say?

a policy paper by David Grover, Ganga Shreedhar, Dimitri Zenghelis  11 January, 2016

This paper explores the potential impact of a uniform £20 per tonne carbon price on fuels and production costs across all 106 industries that comprise the UK economy. read more »

Robustness of norm-driven cooperation in the commons

Robustness of norm-driven cooperation in the commons

a research article by Alessandro Tavoni  6 January, 2016

We assess the robustness of cooperation to environmental variability in a stylized model of a community that harvests a shared resource. read more »


Asymmetric industrial energy prices and international trade

a research article by Misato Sato, Antoine Dechezleprêtre  31 December, 2015

This paper measures the response of bilateral trade flows to differences in industrial energy prices across countries. Using a rich panel dataset with 42 countries, 62 manufacturing sectors over 16 … read more »


Integrated Assessment of no-Regret Climate Change Adaptation Options for Reservoir Catchment and Command Areas

a research article by Ajay Gajanan Bhave  30 December, 2015

In this study, we integrate participatory and modelling approaches for evaluation of reservoir catchment and command area no-regret options addressing water availability and demand in the Kangsabati river basin. read more »

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