Publications

Policy publications 26 June 2019

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Decarbonisation of the UK economy and green finance

Decarbonisation of the UK economy and green finance

a policy publication by Sam Unsworth, Anna Valero, Nick Robins, Daire McCoy, Josh Burke, Sam Fankhauser, Bob Ward  20 September, 2019

The Grantham Research Institute’s response to the Commons Select Committee inquiry into decarbonisation of the UK economy highlights the Treasury’s unique position in government to drive the transition towards net-zero greenhouse gas emissions while maintaining a focus on economic growth. read more »


The missing economic risks in assessments of climate change impacts

a policy publication by Ruth DeFries, Ottmar Edenhofer, Alex Halliday, Geoffrey Heal, Timothy Lenton, Michael Puma, James Rising, Johan Rockström, Alex C. Ruane, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, David Stainforth, Nicholas Stern, Marco Tedesco, Bob Ward  20 September, 2019

Economic assessments of the potential future risks of climate change have been omitting or grossly underestimating many of the most serious consequences for lives and livelihoods because these risks are difficult to quantify precisely and lie outside of human experience. This policy insight identifies and draws attention to these ‘missing risks’ and discusses how populations might fare in light of their potential to adapt in the face of these risks. read more »


Creating useful and usable weather and climate information – insights from Participatory Scenario Planning in Malawi

a working paper by Dorothy Tembo-Nhlema, Katharine Vincent, Rebecka Henriksson Malinga  9 September, 2019

This paper outlines experiences with Participatory Scenario Planning (PSP), which has been used in Malawi as a method to bring together producers and users of weather and climate information to co-produce sector-specific advisories of weather information to make it both useful and usable to the different user groups, including farmers. read more »


Cities, climate change and chronic heat exposure

Cities, climate change and chronic heat exposure

a policy publication by Patrick Curran, Christian Siderius, Tanya Singh  6 September, 2019

Climate change will lead to increases in the occurrence of chronic heat exposure over longer durations and there is an urgent need to focus on managing the risks this poses, as well as the immediate risks from shorter-lived heat events. This policy brief looks at the problem with a focus on developing and emerging economies, and provides recommendations for action by government, utilities, property developers and investors, development support and finance organisations. read more »


Emissions trading with rolling horizons

Emissions trading with rolling horizons

a working paper by Simon Quemin, Raphaël Trotignon  30 August, 2019

The authors of this paper develop a model to evaluate first, the market developments in the European Union emissions trading scheme (EU ETS) over 2008–2017 ex-post and second, the performances of main features of the EU ETS reforms that took place in 2018, ex-ante. read more »


From individual fuzzy cognitive maps to agent based models: modelling multi-factorial and multi-stakeholder decision-making for water scarcity

From individual fuzzy cognitive maps to agent based models: modelling multi-factorial and multi-stakeholder decision-making for water scarcity

a working paper by Sara Mehryar, Richard Sliuzas, Nina Schwarz, Ali Sharifi, Martin van Maarseveen  27 August, 2019

The authors of this paper develop an integrated modelling methodology combining an Agent-Based Model with Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping and use it to simulate impacts of policy options addressing the problems of water scarcity for a farming community in Rafsanjan, Iran. read more »


Turning the corner on US power sector CO2 emissions – a 1990-2015 state level analysis

Turning the corner on US power sector CO2 emissions – a 1990-2015 state level analysis

a research article by Thomas Stoerk  14 August, 2019

Total CO2 emissions from the United States power sector increased over the period 1990–2005, but peaked soon after, and by 2015 they had declined by 20% compared to 2005. This … read more »


Designing a process for assessing climate resilience in Tanzania’s Rufiji river basin

Designing a process for assessing climate resilience in Tanzania’s Rufiji river basin

a policy publication by Declan Conway, Christian Siderius  7 August, 2019

This brief introduces the concept of climate information and reasons for its use in major decisions about water, energy and agriculture, including new infrastructure investments. read more »


Carbon taxes and stranded assets: Evidence from Washington state

Carbon taxes and stranded assets: Evidence from Washington state

a working paper by Stefano Carattini, Suphi Sen  6 August, 2019

The authors of this paper show that while a convergence towards relatively high carbon prices is more than welcome from a climate perspective, central banks and other agencies responsible for financial stability may need to play close attention to such development. read more »


Global lessons for the UK in carbon taxes

Global lessons for the UK in carbon taxes

a policy publication by Josh Burke, Rebecca Byrnes, Sam Fankhauser  2 August, 2019

This policy brief analyses global trends in carbon taxation and differences in tax design around the world to draw out lessons for the design of a possible new carbon tax for the UK, as the country plans how to meet its ambitious new net-zero emissions target and how it prices carbon after Brexit. read more »