Nicola RangerFormer staff
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  • Dr Nicola Ranger

    Dr Nicola Ranger’s research interests include climate-resilient development, the economics of adaptation, the interpretation of uncertain information for decision-support in climate change, adaptation decision making, the roles of disaster risk reduction and insurance in adaptation and international climate finance for adaptation.

    Background

    Nicola joined LSE in March 2009 from the insurance catastrophe modelling firm, Risk Management Solutions Ltd (RMS), where she was a Senior Research Analyst on climate change and disaster risk.

    While at RMS, Nicola led a number of public and private sector research projects related to climate change risk assessment and adaptation economics for sponsors, including the OECD, the World Bank, Lloyd’s of London and CERES.

    Previous to this, she held positions as a scientific advisor and policy analyst for the Climate, Energy and Ozone: Science and Analysis division of Defra (now part of the Department of Energy and Climate Change) and on the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change at HM Treasury.

    Nicola holds a PhD in Atmospheric Physics from Imperial College London and a first-class honours degree in Physics from the University of Warwick.

    Research interests

    • Climate-resilient development;
    • Economics of adaptation;
    • Interpretation of climate model information for decision-support;
    • Climate change and natural catastrophes;
    • Adaptation decision-making under uncertainty;
    • The role of disaster risk reduction and insurance;
    • International climate finance for adaptation
    • Scientific, technological and economic feasibility of global emissions reductions to meet long-term targets.

    2013

    Working paper  29 November, 2013

    Safeguarding development aid against climate change: evaluating progress and identifying best practice

    Official development assistance (ODA) currently totals around $130 billion USD per year, an order of magnitude greater than international climate finance. To safeguard development progress and secure the long-term effectiveness … read more »

    Research article  1 November, 2013

    Safeguarding development aid against climate change: evaluating progress and identifying best practice

    Nicola Ranger, Alex Harvey and Su-Lin Garbett-Shiels. Forthcoming.  

    Research article  21 March, 2013

    A preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on non-life insurance demand in the BRICS economies

    Over the past decade, the increase in insurance demand in the BRICS has been a key driver of global non-life premium growth. Current forecasts suggest that these markets will … read more »

    2012

    Research article  27 November, 2012

    The challenges of climate change and exposure growth for disaster risk management in developing countries

    Reference Ranger, N., and Fisher, S. November 2012. The challenges of climate change and exposure growth for disaster risk management in developing countries. Report produced for the Government Office of Science, Foresight … read more »

    Research article  20 November, 2012

    Reducing risks of future disasters: priorities for decision makers

    Reference Ranger, N., et al. November 2012. Reducing risks of future disasters: priorities for decision makers. Final Project Report. The Government Office for Science, London.

    Research article  20 March, 2012

    Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: Scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

    Current projections of long-term trends in Atlantic hurricane activity due to climate change are deeply uncertain, both in magnitude and sign. This creates challenges for adaptation planning in exposed … read more »

    2011

    Working paper  1 September, 2011

    A preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on non-life insurance demand in the BRICS economies

    Over the past decade, growth in insurance demand in the BRICS economies has been a key driver of global non-life premium growth. Current forecasts suggest that … read more »

    Working paper  1 September, 2011

    What role for 'long-term' insurance in adaptation? An analysis of the prospects for and pricing of multi-year insurance contracts

    Multi-year insurance has been proposed as a tool to incentivise policyholders to invest in property level adaptation. In a world of rising natural catastrophe risks, such … read more »

    Working paper  1 September, 2011

    Forecasting non-life insurance demand in the BRICS economies: a preliminary evaluation of the impacts of income and climate change

    Insurance demand is driven by many factors, but for the emerging economies, one of the most significant historical drivers of growth has been income per capita. … read more »

    Working paper  1 July, 2011

    Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

    Current projections of long-term trends in Atlantic hurricane activity due to climate change are deeply uncertain, both in magnitude and sign. This creates challenges for adaptation … read more »

    Working paper  1 July, 2011

    Insuring climate catastrophes in Florida: an analysis of insurance pricing and capacity under various scenarios of climate change and adaptation measures

    The series of devastating natural disasters around the world during the past few years has raised questions as to the role of the public and private … read more »

    Research article  19 February, 2011

    Assessing climate change impacts, sea level rise and storm surge risk in port cities: a case study on Copenhagen

    This paper presents a first estimate of the exposure of the world’s large port cities (population exceeding one million inhabitants in 2005) to coastal flooding due to sea-level rise … read more »

    Research article  19 February, 2011

    A global ranking of port cities with high exposure to climate extremes

    This paper presents a first estimate of the exposure of the world’s large port cities (population exceeding one million inhabitants in 2005) to coastal flooding due to sea-level rise … read more »

    Research article  19 February, 2011

    A preliminary assessment of the potential impact of climate change on flood risk in Mumbai

    Managing risks from extreme events will be a crucial component of climate change adaptation. In this study, we demonstrate an approach to assess future risks and quantify the benefits … read more »

    More in research publications

    2013

    Policy publications  1 April, 2013

    Disaster resilience and post-2015 development goals: the options for economics targets and indicators

    In 2015, the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) expire. Detailed discussions are already underway to inform the post-2015 development goals. This paper seeks to inform discussions around appropriate economics … read more »

    Policy publications  1 April, 2013

    Incorporating climate change and growth into the post-2015 framework for disaster risk reduction

    The economic costs of natural disasters have continued to rise since the early 1980s and are expected to rise further given the challenges of climate change and population … read more »

    Policy publications  1 April, 2013

    Unburnable Carbon 2013: Wasted capital and stranded assets

    This report examines CO2 budgets and the growing ‘carbon bubble’, as well as its effects on the economy and global warming. It includes chapters on the global CO2 budget, global … read more »

    Policy publications  1 March, 2013

    An Independent National Adaptation Programme for England

    An Independent National Adaptation Programme for England read more »

    2011

    Policy publications  1 June, 2011

    Open questions about how to address 'loss and damage' from climate change in the most vulnerable countries: a response to the Cancún Adaptation Framework

    Extreme weather events represent the earliest, and in some places most significant, threats to the most vulnerable countries that are driven by climate change. An outcome of the 16th session … read more »

    Policy publications  1 March, 2011

    How can decision-makers in developing countries incorporate uncertainty about future climate risks into existing planning and policymaking processes?

    Climate change is increasingly altering the pattern of climate-related risks. Developing countries, and in particular least developed countries, will be among the most severely impacted by climate change. The challenge … read more »

    2010

    Policy publications  1 September, 2010

    Adaptation in the UK: a decision-making process

    Climate change is one of the most significant challenges we face. It will impact the UK population, environment and economy in many ways; including health, water supplies, food, … read more »

    Policy publications  1 August, 2010

    Mitigating climate change through reductions in greenhouse gas emissions: is it possible to limit global warming to no more than 1.5°C?

    The Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are contemplating a range of goals for limiting the rise in global average temperature that is … read more »

    2009

    Policy publications  1 December, 2009

    Mitigating climate change through reductions in greenhouse gas emissions: the science and economics of future paths for global annual emissions

    Mitigating climate change through reductions in greenhouse gas emissions: the science and economics of future paths for global annual emissions read more »

    More in policy publications

    2013

    Announcement  14 June, 2013

    Launch of report on adaptation decision making under uncertainty for development agencies

    Senior Research Fellow, Nicola Ranger, produced this topic guide to stimulate thinking about two major issues: first, how climate change may alter the long-term outcomes of development interventions today, and, second, how such interventions can be better designed from the outset to have outcomes that enhance climate resilience and are themselves robust and adaptable to long-term stresses, like climate change. read more »

    2012

    Commentary  5 November, 2012

    Hurricane Sandy must remind us that tomorrow’s risk is today’s problem

    Dr Nicola Ranger argues that to tackle the unique challenges of climate change and growth, we also need to change the way that we design our risk management systems today. Ignoring the risks … read more »

    2011

    Commentary  31 January, 2011

    Adapting to the impacts of climate change in the UK

    The first set of reports from public bodies setting out what they are doing to adapt to the impacts of climate change on the UK was published by the Department for … read more »

    2010

    Commentary  5 October, 2010

    Temperature goals heat China climate talks

    The Conservative party conference in Birmingham may be the focus of UK politics this week, but government representatives will be taking part in crucial discussions in China that could have … read more »

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    2014

    Grantham Workshop 28 Jan 2014

    Adaptation, Green Growth and Urbanization Workshop

    event was hosted by the Grantham Research Institute and the Spatial Economics Research Centre. The joint workshop consisted of four sessions, incorporating development and growth, spatial, natural hazards and policy, and … read more »

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