Oliver was a post-doctoral researcher  at the Institute from 2010 until 2012. Following that he was a Visiting Fellow from 2013 until 2016. His  work examined the impact of various forms of uncertainty on climate policy, regulation, and financial markets, with a particular emphasis on ambiguity (uncertainty over the correct probability distribution) and unawareness (the presence of unknown unknowns). This draws on recent developments in decision theory and experimental evidence on choice behaviour.


Oliver holds a doctorate from the Economics Department at the University of Oxford, and has worked as a University Lecturer at Cambridge University, a post-doctoral researcher at the Grantham Research Institute, and a college lecturer at Corpus Christi College, Oxford. He currently works as an economic consultant at NERA, and is the author of the Rough Guide to Economics, which was published in March 2014.

Research interests

  • Decision theory;
  • Insurance.


Research - 2017

Research - 2016

Research - 2011

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