Oliver was a post-doctoral researcher at the Institute from 2010 until 2012. Following that he was a Visiting Fellow from 2013 until 2016. His work examined the impact of various forms of uncertainty on climate policy, regulation, and financial markets, with a particular emphasis on ambiguity (uncertainty over the correct probability distribution) and unawareness (the presence of unknown unknowns). This draws on recent developments in decision theory and experimental evidence on choice behaviour.
Oliver holds a doctorate from the Economics Department at the University of Oxford, and has worked as a University Lecturer at Cambridge University, a post-doctoral researcher at the Grantham Research Institute, and a college lecturer at Corpus Christi College, Oxford. He currently works as an economic consultant at NERA, and is the author of the Rough Guide to Economics, which was published in March 2014.
- Decision theory;
Research - 2017
Abstract Many insurance contracts are contingent on events such as hurricanes, terrorist attacks, or political upheavals, whose probabilities are ambiguous.... Read more
Research - 2016
Many insurance contracts are contingent on events such as hurricanes, terrorist attacks or political upheavals, whose probabilities are ambiguous. This... Read more
Research - 2011
Working Paper 69 Abstract Logical structures for modelling agents’ reasoning about unawareness are presented where it can hold simultaneously that:... Read more
Abstract There are many examples in policy-making, investment and day-to-day life where the set of contingencies the decision-maker can conceive... Read more