All pages with keywords: uncertainty


Book Review: The New North: Our World in 2050 by Laurence C. Smith

Book Review: The New North: Our World in 2050 by Laurence C. Smith

a commentary by Baran Doda 12 September, 2012

What kind of world do we want? This is the question with which Laurence Smith ends his new book, The New North. I like that ending. It does not prescribe but allows the reader to contemplate the world in 2050 as a malleable object. read more »


Uncertain times call for strong voices

Commentary 3 August, 2012

Arthur Petersen: Chief scientist at the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and visiting professor at CCCEP and the Grantham Research Institute Experts charged with assessing the scientific evidence on global … read more »


Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: Scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: Scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

a research article by Nicola Ranger 20 March, 2012

Current projections of long-term trends in Atlantic hurricane activity due to climate change are deeply uncertain, both in magnitude and sign. This creates challenges for adaptation planning in exposed … read more »


Safe haven assets and investor behaviour under uncertainty

Safe haven assets and investor behaviour under uncertainty

a research article by Tom McDermott 14 February, 2012

Financial crises and contagion have highlighted the need for safe haven assets. However, their existence, role and interactions are not well understood. We analyze the two most prominent yet … read more »


Coordination under threshold uncertainty in a public goods game

Coordination under threshold uncertainty in a public goods game

a working paper by Alessandro Tavoni 1 November, 2011

We explored experimentally how threshold uncertainty affects coordination success in a threshold public goods game. Whereas all groups succeeded in providing the public good when the … read more »


Scientific uncertainty: a user’s guide

Scientific uncertainty: a user’s guide

a working paper 1 August, 2011

There are different kinds of uncertainty. This paper outlines some of the various ways that uncertainty enters science, focusing on uncertainty in climate science and weather … read more »


Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

a working paper by Nicola Ranger 1 July, 2011

Current projections of long-term trends in Atlantic hurricane activity due to climate change are deeply uncertain, both in magnitude and sign. This creates challenges for adaptation … read more »


The role of stocks and shocks concepts in the debate over price vs. quantity

The role of stocks and shocks concepts in the debate over price vs. quantity

a working paper by Luca Taschini 1 March, 2011

Two simple examples are constructed that help to clarify the role of a key assumption in the analysis of price or quantity controls of greenhouse gases … read more »


Adapting to the impacts of climate change in the UK

Adapting to the impacts of climate change in the UK

a commentary by Nicola Ranger 31 January, 2011

The first set of reports from public bodies setting out what they are doing to adapt to the impacts of climate change on the UK was published by the Department for … read more »


Ambiguity is another reason to mitigate climate change

Ambiguity is another reason to mitigate climate change

a commentary by Simon Dietz, Antony Millner 1 September, 2010

The answers to “How much should people sacrifice today for the benefit of those living several decades from now?” vary widely. This column suggests that people’s distaste for uncertainty – … read more »