Future climate projections for Malawi


This brief provides an overview of future climate change in Malawi, using results from the latest available climate model simulations. The UMFULA research team of the Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) programme has analysed 34 Global Climate Models (GCMs) that provide projections for Malawi to try to distil robust messages and some key trends that may help planning and decision-making. We first present a summary of recent observed rainfall and temperature variability. This is followed by an overview of the range of climate projections available from the leading source of climate model results.

A detailed annex describes the methods and datasets used in the brief and presents a wider range of figures for further reference.

A two-page summary also highlights key findings.

This brief was written by members of the UMFULA research team: Neha Mittal, Katharine Vincent, Declan Conway, Emma Archer van Garderen, Joanna Pardoe, Martin Todd, Richard Washington, Christian Siderius and David Mkwambisi