scenario analysis Archives - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment

Prudential transition plans: the great enabler for effective supervision and regulation of climate-related financial risks?

Policy publication

by Morgan Després and Hugh Miller

on 12 September, 2023

This paper explores how transition plans could offer a technical solution to the challenge of integrating transition risks into the prudential framework. Read more

Purposeful scenario analysis: A framework to guide central banks and financial supervisors in the selection and design of climate scenarios

Policy publication

by Matthias Täger and Simon Dikau

on 18 May, 2023

This policy insight presents an initial conceptual framework on the application of climate scenario analysis and associated design requirements, focusing on the need for a clear purpose. Read more

Building blocks for central banks to develop nature scenarios

Policy publication

by Elena Almeida, Chiara Colesanti Senni and Nepomuk Dunz

on 24 January, 2023

This paper explores current models and scenarios for analysing nature-related financial risks. It identifies the key methodological considerations and requirements if nature assessments are to provide useful guidance to the financial sector. Read more

Beyond climate: addressing financial risks from nature and biodiversity loss

Policy publication

by Elena Almeida, Simon Dikau, Nick Robins, Jeanne Stampe, Romain Svartzman, Thomas Viegas and Ulrich Volz

on 9 December, 2022

The impacts of biodiversity loss call for urgent and transformative changes to economic and financial systems. This paper discusses the need to extend the scope of central banks’ approach to the environmental crisis. Read more