forecasting

This policy briefing, the first in a new series of papers published as part of the INSPIRE Sustainable Central Banking Toolbox, reviews the potential pitfalls of using a modelling framework that omits climate-related information and provides some reflections on how central banks can integrate climate change considerations into their 'workhorse’ models.  Read more

This paper outlines experiences with Participatory Scenario Planning (PSP), which has been used in Malawi as a method to bring together producers and users of weather and climate information to co-produce sector-specific advisories of weather information to make it both useful and usable to the different user groups, including farmers. Read more

There are currently challenges to generating climate services relating both to the supply of climate science and its application. This paper from the UMFULA project reviews the current availability of climate information in Southern Africa and assesses the requirements of a variety of end users in the region, highlighting the importance of creating user-tailored climate services. Read more

The authors of this paper study the question of how important it is to predict the distant future. Read more

Contrary to your headline “Climate change: the official prophecy of doom” (18 March), it would appear that the latest Intergovernmental... Read more

Abstract Operational forecasting with simulation models involves the melding of observations and model dynamics to determine a set of initial... Read more