ensembles

Model simulations of the next few decades are widely used in assessments of climate change impacts and as guidance for... Read more

Working Paper 151 Abstract Operational seasonal forecasting centres employ simulation models to make probability forecasts of future conditions on seasonal... Read more

Working Paper 150 Abstract While state-of-the-art models of the Earth’s climate system have improved tremendously over the last twenty years,... Read more

Abstract Can today’s global climate model ensembles characterize the 21st century climate in their own ‘model-worlds’? This question is at... Read more

Abstract Operational forecasting with simulation models involves the melding of observations and model dynamics to determine a set of initial... Read more

Working Paper 23 Abstract The rationale for international agreements on climate change mitigation comes from the global scope of impacts,... Read more