This paper develops a method to estimate the ‘probability distribution’ of future temperatures to be used in long-term climate change adaptation strategies, investing and insurance. Read more
Working paper
The Grantham Research Institute Working Papers series is aimed at stimulating discussion among researchers across a wide range of academic disciplines. The series is aimed at technical and specialist audiences, usually other researchers in relevant fields. The papers have been reviewed by at least one internal referee before publication and the process is overseen by the series editors, Simon Dikau, Ben Filewod and Gregor Singer. Often the content of working papers is submitted for review by academic journals and so in some cases an updated version of a paper may be available.
This paper provides evidence on the characteristics of low-carbon jobs in the United States and reveals the potential skills gaps and hiring difficulties emerging in specific labour markets affected by the low-carbon transition. Read more
A significant share of German municipalities have amended their building codes to restrict solar installations, often to preserve the historical nature of towns. These restrictions have an economically important impact on solar adoption. These restrictions should be reviewed to see whether they are still warranted today and in the future, as technology evolves. Read more
This paper examines the effects of Chinese import competition on European company's solar photovoltaic (PV) technology innovation. it finds that competition from China encouraged European innovation, calling into question the rationale behind the trade war. Read more
This working paper shows that ICT and AI have the potential to accelerate clean energy innovation, which is critical for reducing carbon emissions. Read more
In investigating how national development policy might have negative effects on human health through altering local ecology, this paper assesses how a policy change in the Philippines that favoured the gold mining sector has impacted on cases of malaria. Read more
This paper shows that the Clean Air Act in the United States substantially reduced air pollution in regulated regions in recent years, but that accounting for pre-existing trends is vital to obtaining accurate estimates. Read more
In this first study of the potential of biomimicry as an innovation strategy in developing countries, the author investigates how nations can leverage their biodiversity as a knowledge bank of solutions to both current and future challenges. Read more
In this paper, the author assembles a new set of quarterly and six-monthly temperature and GDP data for 98 countries and develops a new estimation strategy to attribute observed fluctuations in GDP to changes in temperature. Read more
This paper investigates how methods used to model perceptions and measure resilience can help decision-makers create inclusive and proactive flood resilience strategies for communities, using a case study of Lowestoft, Eastern England. Read more
