All pages with keywords: climate models

Should climate policy account for ambiguity?

Should climate policy account for ambiguity?

a working paper by Antony Millner, Geoffrey Heal 25 August, 2015

Climate change is fundamentally an `out-of-sample’ problem – our available information does not tightly constrain predictions of the consequences of rapid increases in greenhouse gas concentrations. Moreover, the fact that … read more »


An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09

An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09

a research article by Roman Frigg, Lenny Smith, David Stainforth 7 May, 2015

The United Kingdom Climate Impacts Programme’s UKCP09 project makes high-resolution projections of the climate out to 2100 by post-processing the outputs of a large-scale global climate model. The aim of … read more »


Risk Management and Climate Change

Risk Management and Climate Change

Policy Seminar David Stainforth, Simon Dietz 14 Jan 2014

event was hosted by the ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy and the Grantham Research Institute. A series of presentations, chaired by Nick Silver, (Director, Callund Consulting and … read more »


On predicting climate under climate change

On predicting climate under climate change

a research article by David Stainforth 21 August, 2013

Can today’s global climate model ensembles characterize the 21st century climate in their own ‘model-worlds’? This question is at the heart of how we design and interpret climate model … read more »



Book Review: The New North: Our World in 2050 by Laurence C. Smith

Book Review: The New North: Our World in 2050 by Laurence C. Smith

a commentary by Baran Doda 12 September, 2012

What kind of world do we want? This is the question with which Laurence Smith ends his new book, The New North. I like that ending. It does not prescribe but allows the reader to contemplate the world in 2050 as a malleable object. read more »