Publications
Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists’ uncertainty about climate change?
Expert elicitation studies have become important barometers of scientific knowledge about future climate change (Morgan and Keith, Environ Sci Technol 29(10), 1995; Reilly et al., Science 293(5529):430–433, 2001; Morgan … read more »
The treatment of risk and uncertainty in the US Social Cost of Carbon for Regulatory Impact Analysis
This note considers the treatment of risk and uncertainty in the recently established ‘social cost of carbon’ (SCC) for analysis of federal regulations in the United States. It argues … read more »
Climate policy under sustainable discounted utilitarianism
Empirical evaluation of policies to mitigate climate change has been largely confined to the application of discounted utilitarianism (DU). DU is controversial, both due to the conditions through which … read more »
Mediating Climate Change
Reference Van Der Linden, S. 2012. Mediating Climate Change (by Julie Doyle [book review]). Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, v.30, pp.753-755.
High impact, low probability? An empirical analysis of risk in the economics of climate change
To what extent does economic analysis of climate change depend on low-probability, high-impact events? This question has received a great deal of attention lately, with the contention increasingly made … read more »
Pattern scaled climate change scenarios: are these useful for adaptation?
Pattern scaling methods are being widely applied to generate scenarios of climate change for quantication of their impacts on different systems. While generic limitations of this … read more »
Charitable Intent: A Moral or Social Construct? A Revised Theory of Planned Behavior Model.
Current Psychology, 2011. Abstract Given an increasing global need to elicit and stimulate charitable giving and in light of the limited social-psychological research on this subject, this study contributes to … read more »
Unawareness with ‘possible’ possible worlds
Logical structures for modelling agents’ reasoning about unawareness are presented where it can hold simultaneously that: agents’ beliefs about whether they are fully aware need not … read more »
A representation result for choice under conscious unawareness
There are many examples in policy making, investment and day-to-day life where the set of contingencies the decision maker can conceive of does not resolve all … read more »
