Publications

Exploring beliefs about bottled water and intentions to reduce consumption: The dual effect of social norm activation and persuasive information
Mass consumption of bottled water is contributing to a multitude of environmental problems, including; water wastage, pollution and climate change. The aim of this study is to advance a social-psychological … read more »

Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming
It has recently been highlighted that the economic value of climate change mitigation depends sensitively on the slim possibility of extreme warming. This insight has been obtained through a … read more »

On predicting climate under climate change
Can today’s global climate model ensembles characterize the 21st century climate in their own ‘model-worlds’? This question is at the heart of how we design and interpret climate model … read more »

The Structure of Economic modelling of the potential impacts of climate change has grafted gross underestimation onto already narrow science models
Nicholas Stern, Journal of Economic Literature, September, 2013.

Mapping the climate sceptical blogosphere
While mainstream scientific knowledge production has been extensively examined in the academic literature, comparatively little is known about alternative networks of scientific knowledge production. Online sources … read more »

Modeling climate mitigation and adaptation policies to predict their effectiveness: The limits of randomized controlled trials
Modeling climate mitigation and adaptation policies to predict their effectiveness read more »

On estimating local long-term climate trends
Climate sensitivity is commonly taken to refer to the equilibrium change in the annual mean global surface temperature following a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. Evaluating this … read more »

Scientific ambiguity and climate policy
Environmental and Resource Economics. Economic evaluation of climate policy traditionally treats uncertainty by appealing to expected utility theory. read more »

Predicting agricultural impacts of large-scale drought: 2012 and the case for better modeling
The 2012 growing season saw one of the worst droughts in a generation in much of the United States and cast a harsh light on the … read more »

On welfare frameworks and catastrophic climate risks
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. Recent theoretical work in the economics of climate change has suggested that climate policy is highly sensitive to ‘fat-tailed’ risks of catastrophic outcomes (Weitzman, 2009). read more »


