Publications

Beyond the targets: assessing the political credibility of pledges for the Paris Agreement
This report provides the results of an analysis of “intended nationally determined contributions”, or INDCs, that were submitted by countries ahead of the Paris Agreement on climate change. read more »

Water resources transfers through southern African food trade: water efficiency and climate signals
We combine global hydrological model simulations with international food trade data to quantify the water resources embedded in international food trade in southern Africa and with the rest of the world, from 1986–2011. read more »

‘Green growth’ and the new Industrial Revolution
This policy brief summarises the main policy implications of a two-year research programme, sponsored by the Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI), which aimed to contribute to the growing evidence base on green growth. read more »

Well-being dynamics and poverty traps
This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical evidence on single and multiple equilibria poverty traps at the macro, meso, and, especially, micro levels. read more »

Climate change policy, innovation and growth
New clean technologies are urgently required to meet long-term global climate goals. Simulating the development of these technologies has become worldwide policy priority. This policy brief uses the … read more »

Spaces for Agreement: A Theory of Time-Stochastic Dominance and an Application to Climate Change
Many investments involve both a long time horizon and risky returns. Making investment decisions thus requires assumptions about time and risk preferences. Such assumptions are frequently contested, particularly in the … read more »

The competitiveness impact of a UK carbon price: what do the data say?
This paper explores the potential impact of a uniform £20 per tonne carbon price on fuels and production costs across all 106 industries that comprise the UK economy. read more »

Robustness of norm-driven cooperation in the commons
We assess the robustness of cooperation to environmental variability in a stylized model of a community that harvests a shared resource. read more »

Asymmetric industrial energy prices and international trade
This paper measures the response of bilateral trade flows to differences in industrial energy prices across countries. Using a rich panel dataset with 42 countries, 62 manufacturing sectors over 16 … read more »

Integrated Assessment of no-Regret Climate Change Adaptation Options for Reservoir Catchment and Command Areas
In this study, we integrate participatory and modelling approaches for evaluation of reservoir catchment and command area no-regret options addressing water availability and demand in the Kangsabati river basin. read more »