EU ETS reform

eu_logo_lReform of the European Union’s Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) is an important issue in the European policy debate. The Institute researches what long term reforms are required to make the system more responsive to economic shocks that could affect the price of allowances. The Institute’s research also looks at the design of carbon markets more broadly, exploring issues such as linking emissions trading schemes, allowance allocation rules for energy intensive sectors and the potential for market oversight mechanisms.

Key publications:

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Submission to the inquiry by the Energy and Climate Change Committee inquiry on ‘Leaving the EU: implications for UK climate policy’

a policy paper by Baran Doda, Luca Taschini  22 September, 2016

This submission explores whether the UK should seek to stay in or leave the EU emissions trading system (EU ETS) as part of Brexit negotiations. It finds that leaving the EU ETS would result in the UK losing access to low-cost emission reduction opportunities that are only available in what is currently the world’s largest carbon market. It also highlights that leaving the EU ETS to link with other existing or planned emissions trading systems could generate significant administrative costs that potentially offset any economic benefits. read more »


Luca Taschini

Emissions trading systems with cap adjustments

a working paper by Luca Taschini, Sascha Kollenberg  5 September, 2016

This working paper analyses the design of the market stability reserve proposed as part of the reform of the European Union emissions trading system. read more »


Misato Sato

Inclusion of Consumption of carbon intensive materials in emissions trading – An option for carbon pricing post-2020

a policy report by Karsten Neuhoff, Roland Ismer, William Acworth, Andrzej Ancygier, Carolyn Fischer, Manuel Haussner, Hanna-Liisa Kangas, Yong-Gun Kim, Clayton Munnings, Anne Owen, Stephan Pauliuk, Oliver Sartor, Misato Sato, Jan Stede, Thomas Sterner, Michael Tervooren, Ruud Tusveld, Richard Wood, Zhang Xiliang, Lars Zetterberg  1 June, 2016

A project led jointly by Climate Strategies and DIW Berlin has been exploring whether inclusion of domestic sales of selected energy intensive commodities (e.g. steel) in domestic emission trading schemes … read more »


Methods for Evaluating the Performance of Emission Trading Schemes

Methods for Evaluating the Performance of Emission Trading Schemes

a policy report by Misato Sato, Tim Laing  14 December, 2015

This report provides a short summary of assessment methodologies that have been used to evaluate different operational aspects and outcomes of existing trading schemes, a literature which to date draws primarily from the EU ETS experience. read more »


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Searching for carbon leaks in multinational companies

a working paper by Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Caterina Gennaioli, Ralf Martin, Mirabelle Muûls, Thomas Stoerk  15 October, 2015

This paper examines whether the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) has led companies to shift the location of production, thereby creating carbon leakage. read more »


EU ETS, Free Allocations, and Activity Level Thresholds: The Devil Lies in the Details

EU ETS, Free Allocations, and Activity Level Thresholds: The Devil Lies in the Details

a research article by Misato Sato  1 September, 2015

It is well known that discontinuous jumps or thresholds in tax or subsidies are socially inefficient, because they create incentives to make strategic behavioral changes that lead to substantial increases … read more »


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Solving the clinker dilemma with hybrid output-based allocation

a working paper by Misato Sato, Frédéric Branger  4 August, 2015

This paper proposes an innovative solution to distribute free allowances to the cement sector under emissions trading systems. read more »


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Modernization and innovation in the materials sector: lessons from steel and cement

a policy paper by Misato Sato  16 July, 2015

This report analyses the effectiveness of climate and other related policies in the steel and cement sector over the last 15 years and explores what policy options are available for carbon intensive materials. read more »


Asymmetric industrial energy prices and international trade

Asymmetric industrial energy prices and international trade

a working paper by Misato Sato, Antoine Dechezleprêtre  2 March, 2015

This paper measures the response of bilateral trade flows to differences in industrial energy prices across countries. Using a panel for the period 1996-2011 including 42 countries, 62 sectors and … read more »


Is a Market Stability Reserve likely to improve the functioning of the EU ETS? Evidence from a model comparison exercise

Is a Market Stability Reserve likely to improve the functioning of the EU ETS? Evidence from a model comparison exercise

a policy report by Luca Taschini  10 February, 2015

Report explores what market and regulatory failures could inhibit the functioning of the EU ETS and result in deviations from the efficient abatement pathway. read more »


Submission to the inquiry by the House of Commons Select Committee on Energy and Climate Change on ‘Linking Emissions Trading Systems’

Submission to the inquiry by the House of Commons Select Committee on Energy and Climate Change on ‘Linking Emissions Trading Systems’

a policy paper by Luca Taschini  16 October, 2014

Paper looks at what are the main challenges to linking emissions trading systems and what are the consequences of failing to address them adequately. read more »


FP7 Entracte project

FP7 Entracte project

a research article by Luca Taschini  6 October, 2014

The second ENTRACTE newsletter reflects the contribution of the GRI/LSE research project for a functioning climate policy taking into account a careful design. It gives an overview about recent research … read more »


EU ETS, free allocations and activity level thresholds, the devil lies in the details

EU ETS, free allocations and activity level thresholds, the devil lies in the details

a working paper by Misato Sato, Frédéric Branger, Jean-Pierre Ponssard, Oliver Sartor  3 October, 2014

Energy intensive and trade exposed sectors receive a proportion of their allowances (EUAs) for the European Union emissions trading system (EU ETS) free of charge to prevent carbon … read more »


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The effects and side‐effects of the EU emissions trading scheme

a research article by Misato Sato  15 April, 2014

As many countries, regions, cities, and states implement emissions trading policies to limit CO2 emissions, they turn to the European Union’s experience with its emissions trading scheme since 2005. read more »


Carbon control and competitiveness post 2020: the cement report

Carbon control and competitiveness post 2020: the cement report

a policy paper by Misato Sato  27 February, 2014

Cement industry top management now has little confidence in the EU ETS;  structural reform is needed to help investment in energy efficiency and innovation, and reduce energy costs and carbon … read more »


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Sectors under scrutiny: evaluation of indicators to assess the risk of carbon leakage in the UK and Germany

a research article by Misato Sato  4 January, 2014

One of the central debates surrounding the design of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme is the approach to address carbon leakage concerns. read more »


System responsiveness and the European Union Emissions Trading System

System responsiveness and the European Union Emissions Trading System

a policy paper by Luca Taschini, Chris Duffy  1 January, 2014

This paper argues in favour of a reform of the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) that makes the system more responsive to unexpected price shocks. The paper proposed … read more »


Sectors under scrutiny – Evaluation of indicators to assess the risk of carbon leakage in the UK and Germany

Sectors under scrutiny – Evaluation of indicators to assess the risk of carbon leakage in the UK and Germany

a working paper by Misato Sato  1 May, 2013

One of the central debates surrounding the design of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme is the approach to addressing carbon leakage. Correctly identifying the economic activities … read more »


Experimental comparison between markets on dynamic permit trading and investment in irreversible abatement with and without non-regulated companies

Experimental comparison between markets on dynamic permit trading and investment in irreversible abatement with and without non-regulated companies

a research article by Luca Taschini  21 March, 2013

This paper examines the investment strategies of compliance companies in irreversible abatement technologies and the environmental achievements of the system in an inter-temporal cap-and-trade market using laboratory experiments. The … read more »


Options for structural measures to improve the European Union Emissions Trading System: response to a European Commission consultation

Options for structural measures to improve the European Union Emissions Trading System: response to a European Commission consultation

a policy paper by Luca Taschini  1 March, 2013

Main points The impact of ‘back-loading’, a short-term measure, will be limited. ‘Back-loading’ is unlikely to have a significant impact on the price of emissions allowances, unless the ‘back-loaded’ allowances … read more »


Emissions trading with profit-neutral permit allocations

Emissions trading with profit-neutral permit allocations

a research article by Cameron Hepburn  21 February, 2013

This paper examines the impact of an emissions trading scheme (ETS) on equilibrium emissions, output, price, market concentration, and profits in a generalized Cournot model. We develop formulae for … read more »


Assessing the effectiveness of the EU Emissions Trading System

Assessing the effectiveness of the EU Emissions Trading System

a working paper by Tim Laing, Misato Sato  1 February, 2013

As an increasing number of countries, regions, cities and states implement emission trading policies to limit cap CO2 emission, many turn to the experience of the … read more »


Environmental policy and directed technological change: evidence from the European carbon market

Environmental policy and directed technological change: evidence from the European carbon market

a working paper by Raphael Calel, Antoine Dechezleprêtre  1 March, 2012

This paper was updated in February 2013 This paper investigates the impact of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS)on technological change. We exploit installations-level inclusion … read more »


Integrated EUA and CER price modelling and application for spread option pricing

Integrated EUA and CER price modelling and application for spread option pricing

a working paper by Pauline Barrieu  1 March, 2011

In this paper, we propose a market consistent futures price dynamics model for cap-and-trade schemes, designed in the spirit of the European Union’s Emissions Trading Scheme … read more »


New rules, new politics, same actors: explaining policy change in the EU ETS

New rules, new politics, same actors: explaining policy change in the EU ETS

a working paper  1 October, 2010

The allocation rules for phase one EU ETS emissions permits demonstrates that energy generators were lobbying winners because they successfully blocked differential treatment (rules) from energy … read more »


Properly designed emissions trading schemes do work!

Properly designed emissions trading schemes do work!

a working paper  1 November, 2009

Emissions trading markets have been touted as the most efficient mechanism to achieve environmental goals at least cost. Whether in the form of voluntary markets or … read more »