Bamber, Jonathan L., and W. P. Aspinall. An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets. Nature Climate Change 3.4 (2013): 424-427.
 Barkemeyer, R., Dessai, S., Monge-Sanz, B., Renzi, B. G., and Napolitano, G. (2016). Linguistic analysis of IPCC summaries for policymakers and associated coverage. Nature Climate Change, 6(3), 311-316.
 Beyth-Marom R. (1982). How probable is probable? A numerical translation of verbal probability expressions. Journal of Forecasting, 1, 257-269.
 Bradley S. (2011). Scientific uncertainty: a user’s guide. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy Working Paper No. 65 / Munich Re Programme Technical Paper No. 9.
 Budescu, D. V., and Wallsten, T.S. (1985). Consistency in interpretation of probabilistic phrases. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 36, 391-405.
 Budescu, D. V., Broomell S., and Por, H. (2009). Improving communication of uncertainty in the reports of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Psychol. Sci. 20:299-308
 CCSP, 2009: Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Decision-making. [M. Granger Morgan (Lead Author), Hadi Dowlatabadi, Max Henrion, David Keith, Robert Lempert, Sandra McBride, Mitchell Small, and Thomas Wilbanks (Contributing Authors)]. A Report by the Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, DC, 96 pp.
 Dessai, S., and Hulme, M. (2004). Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities?. Climate policy, 4(2), 107-128.
 Dessai, S., Hulme, M., Lempert, R., and Pielke Jr, R. (2009). Climate prediction: a limit to adaptation. Adapting to climate change: thresholds, values, governance, 64-78.
 Dhami, M.K. (2017). Towards an Evidence-Based Approach to Communicating Uncertainty in Intelligence Analysis. Intelligence and National Security (in press).
 Dhami, M. K., Lundrigan, S., and Mueller-Johnson, K. (2015). Instructions on reasonable doubt: Defining the standard of proof and the juror's task. Psychology, Public Policy and Law, 21, 169-178.
 Dhami M. K. and Wallsten T. S. (2005) Interpersonal comparison of subjective probabilities:Toward translating linguistic probabilities. Memory and Cognition, 33 (6), 1057-1068.
 Fischhoff, B. (1995). Risk perception and communication unplugged: twenty years of process. Risk analysis, 15(2), 137-145.
 Fischhoff, B., and Davis, A. L. (2014). Communicating scientific uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(4), 13664-13671.
 Frigg, R., Bradley, S., Du, H., and Smith, L. A. (2014). Laplace's Demon and the Adventures of his Apprentices. Philosophy of Science, 81(1), 31-59.
 Frigg, R., Smith, L. A., and Stainforth, D. A. (2015). An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09. Synthese, 192(12), 3979-4008.
 Funtowicz, S. O., and Ravetz, J. R. (1990). Uncertainty and quality in science for policy. Springer Science & Business Media.
 Communicating uncertainty and change: Guidance for official statistics producers. Government Statistical Service, 16pp.
 Houghton, J. T., Jenkins G. J., and Ephraums J. J. (1990). Climate Change: the IPCC Scientific Assessment. Report prepared for IPCC by Working Group 1. Cambridge University Press.
 Houghton, J. T. (1996). Climate change 1995: The science of climate change: contribution of working group I to the second assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.
 Ho, E. H., Budescu, D. V., Dhami, M. K., and Mandel, D. R. (2015). Improving the communication of uncertainty in climate science and intelligence analysis. Behavioral Science & Policy, 1(2), 43-55.
 Hogarth, R. M. (1975). Cognitive processes and the assessment of subjective probability distributions. Journal of the American statistical Association, 70(350), 271-289.
 Hohle, S. M. and Teigen, K. H. (2015). Forecasting forecasts: The trend effect. Judgment and decision making. 10(5):416- 428.
 Inter-Academy Council (2010). Climate change assessments: Review of the processes and procedures of the IPCC. Committee to Review the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
 Guidance Notes for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report on Addressing Uncertainties, IPCC, 4pp.
 Janssen, P. H., Petersen, A. C., van der Sluijs, J. P., Risbey, J. S., and Ravetz, J. R. (2005). A guidance for assessing and communicating uncertainties. Water science and technology, 52(6), 125-131.
 Juanchich, M., Teigen, K. H. and Gourdon, A. (2013). Top scores are possible, bottom scores are certain (and middle scores are not worth mentioning): A pragmatic view of verbal probabilities. Judgment and decision making. 8(3):345-364.
 Kandlikar, M., Risbey, J., and Dessai, S. (2005). Representing and communicating deep uncertainty in climate-change assessments. Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 337(4), 443-455.
 Knutti, R., G. Abramowitz, M. Collins, V. Eyring, P. J. Gleckler, B. Hewitson, and L. Mearns, 2010: Good Practice Guidance Paper on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections. In: Meeting Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. IPCC Working Group I Technical Support Unit, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
 Lempert, R. J., and Schlesinger, M. E. (2000). Robust strategies for abating climate change. Climatic Change, 45(3-4), 387-401.
 2) Lhre, E. and Teigen, K. H. (2016). There is a 60% probability, but I am 70% certain: Communicative consequences of external and internal expressions of uncertainty. Thinking and Reasoning. 22(4):369-396.
 Lynn, J., M. Araya, O. Christophersen, I. El Gizouli, S.J. Hassol, E. M. Konstantinidis, K. J. Mach, L. A. Meyer, K. Tanabe, M. Tignor, R. Tshikalanke, J.-P. van Ypersele (eds.) (2016). Meeting Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Communication. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
 Manning, M.R. (2006). The Treatment of Uncertainties in the Fourth IPCC Assessment Report. Adv. Clim. Change Res. 2 (Suppl. 1): 13-21.
 Manning, M. R., M. Petit, D. Easterling, J. Murphy, A. Patwardhan, H-H. Rogner, R. Swart, and G. Yohe (eds.) (2004) IPCC Workshop on Describing Scientific Uncertainties in Climate Change to Support Analysis of Risk and of Options: Workshop Report. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Geneva, Switzerland.
 Mastrandrea, M. D., Field, C. B., Stocker, T. F., Edenhofer, O., Ebi, K. L., Frame, D. J., and Plattner, G. K. (2010). Guidance note for lead authors of the IPCC fifth assessment report on consistent treatment of uncertainties.
 Mastrandrea, M. D., Mach, K. J., Plattner, G. K., Edenhofer, O., Stocker, T. F., Field, C. B., and Matschoss, P. R. (2011). The IPCC AR5 guidance note on consistent treatment of uncertainties: a common approach across the working groups. Climatic Change, 108(4), 675-691.
 Mastrandrea, M. D., and Mach, K. J. (2011). Treatment of uncertainties in IPCC Assessment Reports: past approaches and considerations for the Fifth Assessment Report. Climatic Change, 108(4), 659-673.
 Morgan, M. G. and Keith, D. W. (1995). Subjective judgements by climate experts. Environ. Sci. Technol. 29, 468-476.
 Morgan, M. G. (2014). Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(20), 7176-7184.
 Morgan, M. G. and Henrion M. (2010). Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis. Cambridge University Press, ISBN 978-0521427449.
 Melillo, J. M., Richmond T.C., and Yohe, G.W. (Eds.) (2014). Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, 841 pp. doi:10.7930/J0Z31WJ2.
 Moss, R. H. and Schneider, S. H. (2000). Uncertainties in the IPCC TAR: Recommendations to lead authors for more consistent assessment and reporting. In: Guidance Papers on the Cross Cutting Issues of the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC [eds. R. Pachauri, T. Taniguchi and K. Tanaka], World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, pp. 33-51.
 Moss, R.H. (2011). Reducing doubt about uncertainty: Guidance for IPCC’s third assessment. Climatic Change 108:641.
 Moss, R. H. (2016). Assessing decision support systems and levels of confidence to narrow the climate information “usability gap”. Climatic Change 135:143-155.
 National Research Council Governing Board Committee on the Assessment of Risk. (1981). The handling of risk assessments in NRC Reports. Washington, DC.
 Nicholls, N. (1999). Cognitive illusions, heuristics, and climate prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(7), 1385-1397.
 Nordhaus, W. D. (1994). Expert opinion on climatic change. American Scientist, 82(1), 45-51.
 Nuclear Decommissioning Authority (2017). Geological disposal: Methods for management and quantification of uncertainty. NDA Report no. NDA/RWM/153, ISBN 978-1-84029-579-5.
 O’Brien, B. J. (1989). Words or numbers? The evaluation of probability expressions in general practice. J R Coll Gen Pract. 39(320): 98-100.
 O’Neill, B. C., Oppenheimer, M., Warren, R., Hallegatte, S., Kopp, R. E., Portner, H. O., and Mach, K. J. (2017). IPCC reasons for concern regarding climate change risks. Nature Climate Change, 7(1), 28-37.
 Oppenheimer, M., O'Neill, B. C., Webster, M., and Agrawala, S. (2007). The limits of consensus. Science Magazine's State of the Planet 2008-2009: with a Special Section on Energy and Sustainability, 317, 1505-06.
 Oppenheimer, M., Little, C. M., and Cooke, R. M. (2016). Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change. Nature Climate Change, 6(5), 445-451.
 Parker, W. (2010). Whose Probabilities? Predicting Climate Change with Ensembles of Models. Philosophy of Science 77(5): 985-997.
 Parker, W. (2011). When Climate Models Agree: The Significance of Robust Model Predictions. Philosophy of Science 78(4): 579-600.
 Parker, W. (2014). Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 46: 24-30.
 Patt, A. G., and Schrag, D. P. (2003). Using specific language to describe risk and probability. Climatic change, 61(1-2), 17-30.
 Patt, A, and Dessai, S. Communicating uncertainty: lessons learned and suggestions for climate change assessment. Comptes Rendus Geoscience 337.4 (2005): 425-441.
 Petersen, A. C. (2011). Climate simulation, uncertainty, and policy advice - the case of the IPCC. In Climate Change and Policy (pp. 91-111). Springer Berlin Heidelberg.
 Petersen, A. C. (2012). Simulating Nature: A Philosophical Study of Computer-Model Uncertainties and Their Role in Climate Science and Policy Advice. (2nd ed.). CRC Press, ISBN 978-1466500624.
 Pidgeon, N., and Fischhoff, B. (2011). The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks. Nature Climate Change, 1(1), 35-41.
 Pittock, A. B., Jones, R. N., and Mitchell, C. D. (2001). Probabilities will help us plan for climate change. Nature, 413(6853), 249.
 Risbey, J. S., and Kandlikar, M. (2007). Expressions of likelihood and confidence in the IPCC uncertainty assessment process. Climatic change, 85(1-2), 19-31.
 Seneviratne, S. (2012). Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment. IPCC presentation, Geneva, March 2012.
 Smith, L. A. (2002). What might we learn from climate forecasts? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 99(1), 2487-2492.
 Smith, L. A. and Petersen, A. C. (2013) Variations on reliability: Connecting climate predictions to climate policy. In: Boumans, M. and Hon, G. and Petersen, A. C., (eds.) Error and Uncertainty in Scientific Practice. (pp. 137-156). Pickering & Chatto: London, UK.
 Swart, R., Bernstein, L., Ha-Duong, M., and Petersen, A. (2009). Agreeing to disagree: uncertainty management in assessing climate change, impacts and responses by the IPCC. Climatic Change, 92(1-2), 1-29.
 Teigen, K. H. (2014). When very likely is not so likely. Nature Climate Change, 4:421-422.
 Teigen, K. H., Juanchich, M. and Filkukova, P. (2014). Verbal probabilities: An alternative approach. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology. 67(1):124-146.
 Teigen, K. H., Juanchich, M. and Riege, A. H. (2013). Improbable outcomes: Infrequent or extraordinary? Cognition. 127(1):119-139.
 Thompson E. L., Frigg R. P. and Helgeson C. (2016). Expert Judgement for Climate Change Adaptation. Philosophy of Science, 83:1110-1121.
 Van Der Sluijs, J. P., Craye, M., Funtowicz, S., Kloprogge, P., Ravetz, J., and Risbey, J. (2005). Combining quantitative and qualitative measures of uncertainty in model-based environmental assessment: the NUSAP system. Risk analysis, 25(2), 481-492.
 Wallsten, T. S., Budescu, D. V., Rapoport, R. Z., and Forsyth, B. (1986). Measuring the vague meanings of probability terms. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 115, 348?365.
 Wallsten, T. S., Fillenbaum, S., and Cox, J. A. (1986). Base rate effects on the interpretations of probability and frequency expressions. Journal of Memory and Language, 25, 571?587.
 Wardekker, J. A., van der Sluijs, J. P., Janssen, P. H., Kloprogge, P., and Petersen, A. C. (2008). Uncertainty communication in environmental assessments: views from the Dutch science-policy interface. Environmental Science & Policy, 11(7), 627-641.
 Weber, E. U., and Hilton, D. J. (1990). Contextual effects in the interpretation of probability words: Perceived base rate and severity of effects. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 16, 781-789.
 Winsberg, E., Huebner, B. and Kukla, R. (2014). Accountability and values in radically collaborative research. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A, 46:16-23.
 Zickfeld, K., Levermann, A., Morgan, M. G., Kuhlbrodt, T., Rahmstorf, S., and Keith, D. W. (2007). Expert judgements on the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to climate change. Climatic Change, 82(3-4), 235-265.