
About
Dr Ilke Toygür is the Director of the IE Global Policy Center and Professor of Geopolitics of Europe at the School of Politics, Economics, and Global Affairs at IE University.
In addition, she is a senior associate at the CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program and serves as an elected board member of the Trans European Policy Studies Association (TEPSA) in Brussels. Furthermore, she has been selected as a Mercator Fellow for 2024.
Her main areas of expertise include European integration, EU institutions, elections and democracy in Western Europe, the geopolitics of Europe, transatlantic relations, and Türkiye’s relations with the West. She holds a BA degree and an MA degree in Economics, an MA degree in Democracy and Government, and a PhD in Political Science.
Dr Toygür began her career back in 2008, working at the Economic Development Foundation (IKV), a research institute focusing on the European Union. In 2016, she completed her PhD degree in Political Science at the Autonomous University of Madrid. Her doctoral research focused on the impact of European integration on the vote and party system change in Western Europe in times of crises. In 2015, she was granted a Mercator-IPC Fellowship at the Istanbul Policy Center. Following her PhD, she worked for the Elcano Royal Institute in Madrid and for the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP) in Brussels. She has also been a lecturer at the University Carlos III of Madrid and a visiting researcher at the European University Institute (EUI), University of Mannheim, and Brookings Institution.
Her research and articles have so far appeared in Carnegie Europe, the German Marshall Fund of the United States, the Brookings Institution, the Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Der Spiegel, and El País, among others. She frequently comments on European affairs in the international media. She is native in Turkish, speaks fluent English and Spanish.
Expertise
- European Politics
- European integration and wider Europe
- Political parties, party systems, elections and voting behaviour in Western Europe
- Global trends of democracy and authoritarianism
- Geopolitics of Europe
- Transatlantic relations
- Europe’s Relations with the Global South
- Turkish foreign policy, Turkey’s relations with the West
- Research for Policy
Research
Longer Policy Analysis
• Strategic Autonomy as a Dynamic of Convergence in Türkiye-EU Relations (Co-authored with Sinan Ülgen and Sophia Besch) - Carnegie Endowment for Peace (October 2024)
• Europe’s Grand Bargain for the Twenty-First Century and its Transatlantic Implications (Co- authored with Alper Coşkun) - Carnegie Endowment for Peace (June 2024, English)
• Beyond Electoral Uncertainty Rethinking the Transatlantic Alliance in Times of Change (Co- coordinated with Waya Quiviger) - Global Policy Center IE University (June 2024, English)
• The European Political Community. Navigating the Path to Consolidation (Co-authored with Sébastien Maillard) - Global Policy Center IE University (June 2024, English)
• Will the European Parliament elections have an impact on the EU’s enlargement agenda? (Co- authored with Luis de Lossada) - CIDOB (May 2024, English)
• European Family Action Plan: Mapping Transitionary Integration Moving Towards EU Membership (Co-authored with Nicolai von Ondarza) - Global Policy Center IE University (April 2024, English)
• The Granada Summit of the European Political Community: Ambition or Oblivion? (Co-authored with Mathieu Droin) – Center for Strategic & International Studies (October 2023)
• The EU Isn’t Ready for Ukraine to Join (Co-authored with Max Bergmann) – Foreign Policy (July 2023, English)
• A Continent Forged in Crisis: Assessing Europe One Year into the War (Co-authored with Max Bergmann and Otto Svendsen) - Center for Strategic & International Studies (February 2023, English)
• The rise of mega-regions: Eurasia, the Indo-Pacific, and the transatlantic alliance in a reshaped world order (Co-authored with Zachary Paikin, Martin Quencez and Stephen R. Nagy) – Center for European Policy Studies (December 2022, English)
• After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: Unity is good, but ambition is better (Co-authored with Sophie Pornschlegel) – European Policy Center (June 2022, English)
• Turkey’s foreign policy and its consequences for the EU (Co-authored with Funda Tekin, Eduard Soler I Lecha and Nicholas Danforth) – European Parliament, Directorate-General for External Policies (February 2022, English)
• A New Way Forward for EU-Turkey Relations – Carnegie Europe (January 2022, English)
• What’s in the German ballot box for European integration? Continuity and change (Co-authored with Funda Tekin) - Elcano Royal Institute (October 2021, English)
• Turkey, the EU and the Eastern Mediterranean Crisis: Militarization of Foreign Policy and Power Rivalry (Co-authored with Sinem Adar) – German Institute for International and Security Affairs (December 2020, English)
• Customs Union: Old Instrument, New Function in EU-Turkey Relations (Co-authored with Sinem Adar et al) – German Institute for International and Security Affairs (September 2020, English)
• Turkey and Spain: Bilateral relations and the road ahead for Customs Union modernization – Elcano Royal Institute (September 2020, English)
• Is it time to negotiate a complementary framework for Turkey-EU relations? An institutional look for 2019-2024 – Istanpol (January 2020, English & Turkish)• Spain’s influence in the European Parliament: an historical survey and predictions for the new political cycle (Co-authored with Carlos Carnicero Urabayen) – Real Instituto Elcano (May 2019, Spanish & English)
• Turkey’s presidential system and a changing west: Implications for Turkish foreign policy and Turkey
- West relations (Co-authored with Kemal Kirişci) – Brookings Institution, The New Geopolitics (January 2019, English)
• Turkey’s AKP and the West: Nationalism, Populism and Beyond in When Populism Meets Nationalism: Reflections on Parties in Power – ISPI (December 2018, English)
• Turkey in and out of NATO? An instance of a turbulent alliance with Western institutions (Co- authored with Yaprak Gürsoy) – Elcano Royal Institute (June 2018, English)
• A guide to understanding Italy: the 2018 elections and beyond - Elcano Royal Institute (March 2018, English)
• How to Dull Turkey's Autocratic Edge (Co-authored with Nicholas Danforth) – Foreign Affairs (September 2017, English)
• One year on: an assessment of the EU-Turkey statement on refugees (Co-authored with Bianca Benvenuti) – Elcano Royal Institute & IAI (March 2017, English) The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: 5+1 Steps Away from Visa Free Travel for Turkish Nationals (Co- authored with Melih Özsöz) - Heinrich Böll Europe (June 2016, English)
• The European Response to the Refugee Crisis: Angela Merkel on the Move” (Co-authored with Bianca Benvenuti) – Istanbul Policy Center (June 2016, English)
• Reshaping Relations in the Midst of Crises: A Bitter Anniversary for Turkey-EU Accession Negotiations (Co-authored with Melih Özsöz) – Istanbul Policy Center (March 2016, English)
Commentaries & Newspaper Articles
• La Guerra ideológica de Trump contra la UE – El País (February 2025, Spanish)
• Europa a las urnas: ¿qué está en juego para los 27 países de la UE hacia los próximos cinco años? – France 24 Español (Junio 2024, Spanish)
• Will the European Parliament Election Redefine Europe? – IE Insights (June 2024, English)
• The Chisinau Summit: A Litmus Test for Moldova and the EPC (co-authored with Mathieu Droin) - Center for Strategic & International Studies (May 2023, English)
• Transatlantic Cooperation to Counterbalance China Needs More Nuances – Center for Strategic & International Studies (December 2022, English)
• Flexible ‘EU-centricness’ is the key ingredient to ensure the European Political Community’s success – Centre for European Policy Studies (October 2022, English)
• Who should the United States call in Europe? (Co-authored with Max Bergmann) – Center for Strategic and International Studies (October 2022, English)
• Competing options for EU enlargement – Euobserver (June 2022, English)
• Why is there no place for strategic ambiguity this time around on the European continent? – German Institute for International and Security Affairs (March 2022, English)
• How to Europeanise the upcoming French EU presidency? (Co-authored with Nicoletta Pirozzi and Funda Tekin) – EUobserver (December 2021, English)
• The Slovenian EU Presidency: time to move forward (Co-authored with Nicoletta Pirozzi and Funda Tekin) – Elcano Royal Institute (July 2021, English)
• Embracing Biden’s Democracy Agenda? Start with Turkey – German Institute for International and Security Affairs (June 2021, English)
• Can the Conference on the Future of Europe prevent another #SofaGate? – Elcano Royal Institute (May 2021, English)
• We finally have our Conference on the Future of Europe: now, what do we do with it? – Elcano Royal Institute (March 2021, English)• After the European Council: is there a formula for stability with an unpredictable Turkey? – Elcano Royal Institute (March 2021, English)
• No Easy Reset: Time for Europe to Clarify Its Relationship with Turkey – German Institute for International and Security Affairs (February 2021, English)
• The Portuguese Presidency: striking the balance between unfinished business and leaving its own mark (Co-authored with Nicoletta Pirozzi and Funda Tekin) – Elcano Royal Institute (January 2021, English)
• The impact of the Biden Administration on Turkey-EU relations (Co-authored with Kadri Tastan) – German Marshall Fund of the United States (December 2020, English)
• Expectations, competences and power: understanding the dynamics of EU institutions in tackling the COVID-19 crisis and setting the tone for the Conference on the Future of Europe – Elcano Royal Institute (June 2020, English)
• España y la oportunidad escondida en el Brexit (Spain and the hidden opportunity in Brexit) – El Mundo (January 2020, Spanish)
• The EU, coronavirus and crisis management: is solidarity real or just a prop? - Elcano Royal Institute (March 2020)
• Why the EU should not opt for another refugee deal with Turkey with no shared responsibility (Co- authored with Seda Gürkan) – Elcano Royal Institute (March 2020)
• La EU entre sus ambiciones del siglo XXI y su presupuesto (The EU between its ambitions of the 21st century and its budget) – Elcano Royal Institute (February 2020, Spanish)
• Optimismo para Turquía (Optimism for Turkey) – El País (June 2019, Spanish)
• Sánchez must snatch the Economic Vice-presidency for Spain (Co-authored with Miguel Otero- Iglesias) – Real Instituto Elcano (June 2019, English)
• Ηταν μια καλή βραδιά για τους φιλοευρωπαίους; (Was it a good night for the pro-Europeans?) – Kathimerini (June 2019, Greek)
• El despertar de España en Europa pasa por la Eurocámara (The awakening of Spain in Europe passes through the European Parliament) (Co-authored with Carlos Carnicero Urabayen) – Agenda Pública (May 2019, Spanish)
• Una Europa sin miedo (A Europe without fear) – El País (May 2019, Spanish)
• The elections to the European Parliament in perspective: three points to consider before Sunday – Real Instituto Elcano (May 2019, English)
• Great power competition: la caída del multilateralismo y el liderazgo de la Unión Europea (Great power competition: The fall of multilateralism and the leadership of the European Union) – Letras Libres (March 2019, Spanish)
• Europe’s Choice: What lies ahead?” – Elcano Royal Institute (February 2019, English)
• When strongmen personalize foreign and security policy: The US and Turkey - Elcano Royal Institute (December 2018, English)
• #MiPropuesta: ‘Apostar por una política exterior común de la UE – Instituto Universitario de Estudios Europeos (October 2018, Spanish)
• As Turkish democracy declines, what’s the role for fellow NATO members?” (Co-authored with Kemal Kirişci) – The Brookings Institution (July 2018, English)
• El futuro político de Turquía – Agenda Pública (June 2018, Spanish)
• Cambiar lo inalterable - El País (June 2018, Spanish)
• Turkey’s choice: an election that be too close to call - Elcano Royal Institute (June 2018, English)
• Turquía y la UE: geopolítica en un mundo cambiante - Política Exterior (May 2018, Spanish)
• Turkey’s snap elections: Why in such a hurry? - Elcano Royal Institute (April 2018, English)
• Turquía y la crisis de la democracia – El País (July 2017, Spanish)
• Populism and Beyond: Electoral Challenges in the European Union in Cosmopolitan Democracy Revisited in a World of Rising Populism, Deepening Polarization and Rampant Neoliberalism – Istanbul Policy Center (July 2017, English)
• Elecciones críticas para democracias en crisis: Una reflexion – Agenda Pública (June 2017, Spanish)• Diez claves sobre el referéndum constitucional de Turquía (Co-authored with Eduard Soler) – Agenda Pública (April 2017, Spanish)
• Turkish constitutional referendum preview: A polarised society at a crossroads - London School of Economics, EUROPP (April 2017, English)
• From Istanbul to Madrid: five things to know before the Turkish constitutional referendum – Elcano Royal Institute (April 2017, English)
• Turkey’s critical constitutional referendum: an introduction – Elcano Royal Institute (March 2017, English)
• European institutional responses to the recent developments in Turkey: divided in unity? – Elcano Royal Institute (December 2016, English)
• Turkey-EU deal on migrant crisis: Just a tactical whitewash? (Co-authored with Melih Özsöz) – Hurriyet Daily News (August 2016, English)
• From a failed coup to state of emergency: democracy in Turkey today – Elcano Royal Institute (July 2016, English)
• Turkey-EU Refugee Deal: The Turkish Public Opinion Dimension - Heinrich Böll Europe (May 2016, English)
• New politics in Spain: No more two-party dominance, it is time to negotiate – Hurriyet Daily News (December 2015, English)
Peer Reviewed Journal Articles and Book Chapters
• Toygur, I. & Sojka, A. (2025). Does climate backlash fuel Euroscepticism? Exploring the link in the European Parliament elections. Journal of European Public Policy.
• Weldon, S., Toygür, I. & Schmitt, H. (2021). Multilevel governance. In H. Schmitt, P. Segatti, & C. van der Eijk (Eds.), Consequences of context: How the social, political and economic environment affects voting. ECPR Press.
• Toygür, I. & Rodríguez López, C. (2020). Las relaciones de la Unión Europea con Turquía [The European Union’s relations with Turkey]. In J. Maillo González-Orús & B. Becerril Atienza (Eds.), Tratado de Derecho y Políticas de la Unión Europea, Tomo X. Iustel.
• Schmitt, H., & Toygür, I. (2016). European Parliament elections of May 2014: Driven by national politics or EU policy making? In How different were the European elections of 2014?. Politics and Governance.
• Toygür, I. (2014). Revisiting and extending Peter Mair: The impact of Europe on national parties and party systems in times of crisis. In L. Bardi, H. Kriesi, & A. H. Trechsel (Eds.), Elections in Europe in times of crisis: Contributions from the 2013 EUDO dissemination conference. European University Institute.