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Managing Severe Uncertainty: Climate Models Masterclass (1 of 3)
The three masterclasses are in effect a crash course in the natural science aspects of climate change. Everybody wishing to understand the basic physics behind climate change and the use of climate models is welcome to attend; no prior knowledge is presupposed. The first lecture explains the earth's energy balance and introduces basic concepts such as the greenhouse effect; radiative…
Find out more »Managing Severe Uncertainty: Climate Models Masterclass (2 of 3)
The three masterclasses are in effect a crash course in the natural science aspects of climate change. Everybody wishing to understand the basic physics behind climate change and the use of climate models is welcome to attend; no prior knowledge is presupposed. The first lecture explains the earth's energy balance and introduces basic concepts such as the greenhouse effect; radiative…
Find out more »Managing Severe Uncertainty: Discussion of work in progress by Bradley and Drechsler
This meeting will be devoted to a discussion of how different kinds of uncertainty should be classified.
Find out more »Managing Severe Uncertainty: Climate Models Masterclass (3 of 3)
The three masterclasses are in effect a crash course in the natural science aspects of climate change. Everybody wishing to understand the basic physics behind climate change and the use of climate models is welcome to attend; no prior knowledge is presupposed. The first lecture explains the earth's energy balance and introduces basic concepts such as the greenhouse effect; radiative…
Find out more »Ken Binmore (UCL): Rational Decisions in Large Worlds
Rational Decisions in Large Worlds Ken Binmore
Find out more »Decision Theory Masterclass (2 of 3): Katie Steele (LSE)
Decision Theory Masterclass (2 of 3); Katie Steele (LSE)
Find out more »Charlotte Werndl (LSE): On Defining Climate and Climate Change
Charlotte Werndl (LSE) "On Defining
Find out more »Richard Bradley (LSE): Decision Theory Masterclass (3 of 3)
In this third masterclass I will be presenting the main 'post-Bayesian' models of decision making under uncertainty (ambiguity); including Maximin EU; the 'smooth' model of ambiguity and Bewley's theory of choice under incompleteness. In order to understand the background for these models I will look briefly at the older literature on decision making under ignorance and present the Anscombe-Aumann framework…
Find out more »Discussion of IPCC Working Group 1 Summary for Policymakers
Thursday 1 May; 2pm; LAK 2.06 The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) recently released the newest report from Working Group 1; the group tasked with assessing 'the physical scientific aspects of the climate system and climate change'. At this meeting we will discuss the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) document that is based on the full report (1500 pages) of…
Find out more »Managing Severe Uncertainty
Managing Severe Uncertainty project day.
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