2 Michael Ganslmeier
Dr Michael Ganslmeier

Dr Michael Ganslmeier

LSE Fellow

Department of Methodology

Office Hours
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English, German
Key Expertise
Political Behaviour; Climate Change; Causal Inference; Machine Learning

About me

Michael Ganslmeier is an LSE Fellow in the Department of Methodology. Before pursuing a PhD in the Department of Social Policy and Intervention at the University of Oxford, he gained a master’s degree in International Political Economy from the Department of International Relations at LSE, and a bachelor’s degree in Economics from Zeppelin University. In his doctoral thesis, he studies how welfare state reforms affect individual voting behaviour using both causal inference and machine learning approaches. Before and during his PhD, he has worked at/collaborated with numerous institutions, including IMF, World Bank, Oxford, LSE, UCL, and KCL.

Research Interests

Michael is interested in using both causal inference and machine learning to answer long-standing research question in economics and political science. His main research interest concerns how policies affect electoral behaviour of individual voters. For instance, in his job market paper, he quantifies how campaign promises can effectively swing voters from competitor parties using a quasi-experimental research design. Beyond the effect of policies, he is also interested in the economic and political consequences of climate change. Here, he uses both legislative text and satellite data to measure how policy and economic outcomes change in times of global warming.

Expertise Details

Political Economy; Public Opinion; Political Behaviour; Machine Learning; Causal Inference

Journal Publications

Ganslmeier, M., Van Parys, J., & Vlandas, T. (2022). Compliance with the first UK COVID-19 Lockdown and the Compounding Effects of Weather. Scientific Reports (open-access journal of Nature), 12(1), 1-10.

Ganslmeier, M., Furceri, D., & Ostry, J. D. (2021). The Impact of Weather on COVID-19 Pandemic. Scientific Reports (open-access journal of Nature), 11(1), 1-7.

Vlandas, T., McArthur, D., & Ganslmeier, M. (2021). Ageing and the Economy: A Literature Review of Political and Policy Mechanisms. Political Research Exchange, 3(1), 1932532.

Book Chapters

Martelli, A., Campos, N. F., Ganslmeier, M., Ji, Y., & Saka, O. (2020). On the Complementarity between Labour Market Regulation and Tax Reforms in the European Union. In Economic Growth and Structural Reforms in Europe (pp. 280-313). Cambridge University Press.

Saka, O., Martelli, A., Ganslmeier, M., Ji, Y., Campos, N. F., & De Grauwe, P. (2020). Structural Reforms in Europe. Lessons from Early Experiences. In Economic Growth and Structural Reforms in Europe (pp. 317-341). Cambridge University Press.

My research