Choice Group

Adam Oliver

Joe Mazor (LSE; Philosophy and Government): Momentary Maximization; Anticipatory Feelings; and the Evolution of Human Intelligence

Title: Judging the probability of hypotheses versus the impact of evidence: Which form of inductive inference is more reliable? Abstract: Humans

Jim Franklin (UNSW; Maths): Extreme risk: decision-making with data-free statistics

London School of Economics; Lakatos Building; LAK.206 16:00: Welcome coffee 16:15

Making Fair Choices on the Path to Universal Health Coverage Launch of the WHO Consultative Committee Report Thursday; 1 May; 5:00-6:45 pm. LSE; Clement House 99 Aldwych; WC2B 4JF Room CLM 6.02 Countries around the world are moving towards Universal Health Coverage. Along the way; they face difficult choices. The WHO Consultative Group on Equity and Universal Health Coverage has…

Wednesday; 7 May; 5.30 - 7pm Geoff Brennan (ANU; Philosophy; UNC & Duke; Philosophy & Political Science) Voting and Causal Responsibility The paper is a response (by Geoff Sayre-McCord and me) to a claim by Goldman in a 1999 paper (taken up by Tuck in his Free-Riding book) to the effect that standard methods of assessing causality in over-determination cases…

Speaker: Caspar Hare (MIT; Philosophy) Time: 5:30pm - 7pm Title: Shall we wish well to all? An abstract: Some moral theories have a curious feature. They conflict with rational beneficence

Speaker: Arif Ahmed (Cambridge; Philosophy) Time: 5:30pm - 7pm Title & Abstract: tba

Speaker: Lara Buchak (UC Berkeley; Philosophy) Time: 5:30pm - 7pm Title:Inequality and Relative Priority Abstract:

Speaker: Roberto Veneziani (Queen Mary; Economics and Finance) Time: 5:30pm - 7pm Title: Opportunities as chances: maximising the probability that everybody succeeds Abstract:

Speaker: Melody Zhifang Ni (Imperial; Medicine) Time: 5:30pm - 7pm Title: Risks in predicting the location of nasogastric tubes in adult patients (joint work with Oliver Priest; Larry Phillips and George Hanna) Abstract: We present a project in which we have applied Bayesian network (BN) to analyse risks associated with available bedside tests to verify position of nasogastric (NG) tubes.…

Speaker: Branden Fitelson (Rutgers) Title: Towards an Epistemic Foundation for Comparative Confidence (joint work with David McCarthy) Abstract: A generalization of Joyce's (2009) argumentative strategy for establishing probabilism as a coherence requirement for numerical degrees of confidence (credences) is developed and applied to comparative confidence judgments.