Shedding Light on the UK General Election
5 June 2024
Join Prof Patrick Sturgis (Head of Department of Methodology, LSE), Prof Jane Green (President of British Polling Council), Simon Atkinson (Head of Ipsos Knowledge Centre) and other academics and pollsters to discuss the factors that will shape the General Election outcome.
PART ONE: WHERE ARE WE NOW?
Chaired by Sara Hobolt, LSE
Can we Trust the Polls? Will Jennings, Southampton/Sky
Sampling for Election Polling: Joel Wiliams, Verian
Scotland: John Curtice, University of Strathclyde
What do past trends tell us about the present? Holly Day, Ipsos & Beth Kühnel Mann, YouGov
PART TWO: ROUNTABLE ON MRP
Chaired by Jane Green, BPC President
Projecting Seats – an MRP Roundtable: Damian Lyons-Lowe, Survation; Martin Baxter, Electoral Calculus; Callum Hunter, JL Partners; Patrick English, YouGov
PART THREE: WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?
Chaired by Patrick Sturgis, LSE
What about the Don’t Knows? Paula Surridge, University of Bristol
Tactical Voting: Stephen Fisher, University of Oxford
What Might Change? Luke Tryl, More in Common
Election Night and The Exit Poll: Jouni Kuha, LSE