مكونات الصادرات والنمو الاقتصادي في دولة الإمارات العربية المتحدة

Export growth has been shown to have a positive impact on economic growth. It increases investment in sectors where a country has a comparative advantage by facilitating the adoption of advanced technologies, increasing national production and raising the rate of economic growth.

However, there is also evidence that exports have a negative effect on economic growth, especially in countries where primary exports constitute a large share of total exports. Primary exports can be subject to excessive price fluctuations and do not offer knowledge spillovers and other externalities that some non-primary exports do. In the UAE, where primary exports mainly consist of oil, emphasis must be placed on non-oil exports to achieve sustained economic growth.

Over the period 1981–2017, the UAE experienced significant export diversification and a high rate of economic growth. In particular, export diversification is reflected in the increase of non-oil exports during the last three decades.

This project will investigate whether a further increase in the degree of export diversification will foster further economic growth in the UAE. The results of this study will contribute to the discourse on the design of future economic policies in the country and will also be instructive for other countries attempting to emulate a similar economic model.

This project forms part of the Academic Collaboration with Arab Universities Programme, funded by the Emirates Foundation.

Project Outputs

• Exports, Diversification and Economic Growth in the GCC States. Workshop series, LSE Middle East Centre Blog, July 2021.
• Which Exports Contribute More to Economic Growth in the UAE? LSE Middle East Centre Blog, May 2021.
• Export Composition and Economic Growth in the UAE. LSE Middle East Centre Blog, May 2020.