Over the past year, some analysts and academics have observed that Iraq is moving from identity to issue based politics. Others have argued that election campaigns in fact show that not much has fundamentally changed about Iraqi politics. The reality may be somewhere in the middle.
This project examined the mobilisation strategies and results of the 2018 Iraqi elections to identify change and continuity among elites and on a popular level. It looked at what the results mean for the reform agenda, governance, and conflict dynamics in the country. An examination of three types of mobilisation strategies – identity, issues, and patronage – aimed to yield evidence of such a shift in the nature of Iraqi politics, or lack thereof. This project also compared 2018 mobilisation strategies and election results to Iraqi national elections in 2010 and 2014. It examined three provinces of Iraq: Baghdad, Basra and Mosul, and three provinces of the Kurdistan Region: Sulaimaniya, Erbil and Dohuk.
This project formed part of the Conflict Research Programme, funded by the UK Department for International Development to provide research and policy advice on how the risk and impact of violent conflict might be more effectively reduced through development and governance interventions.
Christine van den Toorn | Principal Investigator
Christine is the Director of IRIS at AUIS. She also serves as the Executive Director of External Relations and Policy for AUIS.
Renad Mansour | Researcher
Renad is Research Fellow in the Middle East and North Africa Programme at Chatham House. His research explores the situation of Iraq in transition and the dilemmas posed by state-building.