{"id":86461,"date":"2026-06-03T10:00:32","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T09:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?post_type=publication&#038;p=86461"},"modified":"2026-06-03T10:00:33","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T09:00:33","slug":"from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/","title":{"rendered":"From global biodiversity commitments to local action: revenue potential and allocation dynamics of the Cali Fund"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Biodiversity loss around the world is rapidly accelerating. At the same time, financing for conservation efforts falls far short of what is needed, with an estimated annual gap of US$700 billion. Currently, the private sector contributes only around 10% of finance for conservation. Yet pharmaceutical, biotechnology, agriculture and information technology companies increasingly profit from the digital genetic data derived from biological organisms (digital sequence information or &lsquo;DSI&rsquo;), freely available in public databases. This open architecture, while essential for scientific progress, has allowed companies to benefit from the genetic heritage of biodiversity-rich countries, without any obligation on them to share the financial returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Cali Fund, established at the UN biodiversity summit (Conference of the Parties [COP] 16) in October 2024, is the first attempt to address this. It calls on private companies benefiting from digital genetic data to contribute 1% of their profits or 0.1% of their revenues to channel resources to biodiversity-rich countries and Indigenous communities for conservation. Currently, participation in the fund is voluntary. Its contribution rules and allocation formula are open for revision at COP17 in October 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This paper provides the first global, firm-level analysis of what the Cali Fund is likely to raise and how resources would be distributed, while its design is still being negotiated. The paper highlights how the fund&rsquo;s three allocation criteria &ndash; biodiversity richness, geographic origin of genetic resources and capacity needs &ndash; point in different directions and may have unintended consequences. Choices that may seem technical have consequences on distribution that can determine whether the fund achieves its purpose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key findings for decision-makers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>The Cali Fund could raise between US$929 million and US$3.6 billion per year<\/strong>: with full participation, annual contributions would reach $3.6 billion across 21,690 eligible firms in seven sectors dependent on digital genetic data. Under more realistic assumptions about voluntary uptake, the estimate falls to US$929 million, reflecting differences in reputational exposure, genetic data use and willingness to engage with voluntary schemes across different sectors.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Early uptake is likely to be slow, with significant revenue consequences<\/strong>: evidence from comparable voluntary schemes shows that participation starts slowly and builds gradually. Applied to the Cali Fund, slow early uptake could reduce cumulative revenues by $3.9 billion over the first decade. The absence of national measures requiring companies to participate means this is the most likely near-term trajectory.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>A small number of firms and sectors dominate the revenue base<\/strong>: under full participation, two sectors, pharmaceuticals and information and AI services, account for half of contributions, and the top 100 firms for more than a quarter. Under realistic participation, pharmaceuticals alone could account for nearly 50% of revenues. This is a structural vulnerability: with no sovereign or public funding, revenues are entirely dependent on whether a relatively small number of firms decide to participate.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The payment rule creates instability that COP17 should address<\/strong>: most eligible firms pay into the fund based on their profits rather than revenue, meaning contributions fluctuate with short-term profitability rather than genetic data use. Revenue-based contributions are more stable and harder for firms to reduce through tax planning. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Who receives funding is determined almost entirely by formula design, and the choices are not neutral:<\/strong> prioritising the geographic origin of digital genetic data, for example, would channel nearly half of all the fund&rsquo;s resources to wealthy research economies, while African states would receive just 6%. Altering the mathematical structure of the formula alone can shift the fund&rsquo;s allocations by up to 13 percentage points without changing the underlying allocation criteria.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>DOI: 10.21953\/researchonline.lse.ac.uk.00138657<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"><p>This paper provides the first global, firm-level analysis of what the Cali Fund, designed to support global conservation, is likely to raise and how resources would be distributed.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"author":79,"featured_media":86465,"template":"","tags":[5042,4859,744,959,4814,2140,4857,4858,1047],"publication-type":[435],"topic_area":[4699],"class_list":["post-86461","publication","type-publication","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-biodiversity-conservation","tag-cali-fund","tag-conservation","tag-cop17","tag-digital-sequence-information","tag-distributional-impacts","tag-dsi","tag-genetic-information","tag-nature","publication-type-working-papers","topic_area-biodiversity"],"acf":{"exclude_from_sync":{"ref_value":"field_560538b0e7350","value":"0","type":false,"post_type":""},"show_translations_widget":{"ref_value":"field_6203d588c41e8","value":"0","type":false,"post_type":""},"downloads":{"ref_value":"field_52f16cc1a80f2","value":["https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/GRI-working-paper-450-Makowska-Curran.pdf"],"type":"download","post_type":""},"rss_newsletter":{"ref_value":"field_54f5c2c1544d8","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_link":{"ref_value":"field_52f164b5189e9","value":["agata-makowska"],"type":"relationship","post_type":"profile"},"spotlight":{"ref_value":"field_52f80896506d3","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>From global biodiversity commitments to local action: revenue potential and allocation dynamics of the Cali Fund - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This paper provides the first global, firm-level analysis of what the Cali Fund, designed to support global conservation, is likely to raise and how resources would be distributed.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"From global biodiversity commitments to local action: revenue potential and allocation dynamics of the Cali Fund - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This paper provides the first global, firm-level analysis of what the Cali Fund, designed to support global conservation, is likely to raise and how resources would be distributed.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-06-03T09:00:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/conservation-rain-forest.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1281\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\\\/\",\"name\":\"From global biodiversity commitments to local action: revenue potential and allocation dynamics of the Cali Fund - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/conservation-rain-forest.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-06-03T09:00:32+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-06-03T09:00:33+00:00\",\"description\":\"This paper provides the first global, firm-level analysis of what the Cali Fund, designed to support global conservation, is likely to raise and how resources would be distributed.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/conservation-rain-forest.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/conservation-rain-forest.jpg\",\"width\":1920,\"height\":1281,\"caption\":\"Photo: Molly the Cat, Unsplash+\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Publications\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/?post_type=publication\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"All research\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication-type\\\/new-research\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":4,\"name\":\"Working paper\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication-type\\\/working-papers\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":5,\"name\":\"From global biodiversity commitments to local action: revenue potential and allocation dynamics of the Cali Fund\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/\",\"name\":\"Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\",\"description\":\"The Grantham Research Institute at LSE carries out world-class research on climate change and the environment.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"From global biodiversity commitments to local action: revenue potential and allocation dynamics of the Cali Fund - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","description":"This paper provides the first global, firm-level analysis of what the Cali Fund, designed to support global conservation, is likely to raise and how resources would be distributed.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"From global biodiversity commitments to local action: revenue potential and allocation dynamics of the Cali Fund - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","og_description":"This paper provides the first global, firm-level analysis of what the Cali Fund, designed to support global conservation, is likely to raise and how resources would be distributed.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/","og_site_name":"Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","article_modified_time":"2026-06-03T09:00:33+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1281,"url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/conservation-rain-forest.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Estimated reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/","url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/","name":"From global biodiversity commitments to local action: revenue potential and allocation dynamics of the Cali Fund - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/conservation-rain-forest.jpg","datePublished":"2026-06-03T09:00:32+00:00","dateModified":"2026-06-03T09:00:33+00:00","description":"This paper provides the first global, firm-level analysis of what the Cali Fund, designed to support global conservation, is likely to raise and how resources would be distributed.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/conservation-rain-forest.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/conservation-rain-forest.jpg","width":1920,"height":1281,"caption":"Photo: Molly the Cat, Unsplash+"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/from-global-biodiversity-commitments-to-local-action-revenue-potential-and-allocation-dynamics-of-the-cali-fund\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Publications","item":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?post_type=publication"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"All research","item":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication-type\/new-research\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":4,"name":"Working paper","item":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication-type\/working-papers\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":5,"name":"From global biodiversity commitments to local action: revenue potential and allocation dynamics of the Cali Fund"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/","name":"Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","description":"The Grantham Research Institute at LSE carries out world-class research on climate change and the environment.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-GB"}]}},"taxonomies":{"post_tag":["biodiversity conservation","Cali Fund","Conservation","COP17","Digital Sequence Information","distributional impacts","DSI","genetic information","nature"],"publication-type":["Working paper"],"topic_area":["Biodiversity"]},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/conservation-rain-forest.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/86461","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publication"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/79"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/86461\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":86475,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/86461\/revisions\/86475"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86465"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86461"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86461"},{"taxonomy":"publication-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication-type?post=86461"},{"taxonomy":"topic_area","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic_area?post=86461"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}