{"id":82549,"date":"2025-11-12T11:12:09","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T11:12:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?post_type=publication&p=82549"},"modified":"2025-11-19T11:27:11","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T11:27:11","slug":"the-model-of-catastrophe","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/the-model-of-catastrophe\/","title":{"rendered":"The model of catastrophe"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

In this magazine essay David Stainforth says that the complexity of climate makes it impossible to provide accurate modeling. He goes on to propose that climate researchers and modellers should focus more on understanding, characterizing and quantifying uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

David Stainforth, The model of catastrophe<\/em>, Aeon, 2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\n

In this magazine essay David Stainforth says that the complexity of climate makes it impossible to provide accurate modeling.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":49840,"template":"","tags":[4289,104,774,269],"publication-type":[436],"topic_area":[4692,4690],"class_list":["post-82549","publication","type-publication","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-climate-scenarios","tag-modelling","tag-prediction","tag-uncertainty","publication-type-research-articles","topic_area-adaptation-and-resilience","topic_area-climate-science-and-impacts"],"acf":{"show_translations_widget":{"ref_value":"field_6203d588c41e8","value":"0","type":false,"post_type":""},"downloads":{"ref_value":"field_52f16cc1a80f2","value":false,"type":"repeater","post_type":""},"rss_newsletter":{"ref_value":"field_54f5c2c1544d8","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_link":{"ref_value":"field_52f164b5189e9","value":["david-stainforth"],"type":"relationship","post_type":"profile"},"spotlight":{"ref_value":"field_52f80896506d3","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"article_link":{"ref_value":"field_52eee3c7f0586","value":"https:\/\/aeon.co\/essays\/todays-complex-climate-models-arent-equivalent-to-reality","type":false,"post_type":""},"article_link_title":{"ref_value":"field_5322399d89d42","value":"External link to article","type":false,"post_type":""}},"yoast_head":"\nThe model of catastrophe - 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