{"id":78648,"date":"2025-05-31T16:33:17","date_gmt":"2025-05-31T15:33:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?post_type=publication&p=78648"},"modified":"2025-06-05T16:39:41","modified_gmt":"2025-06-05T15:39:41","slug":"mangroves-and-economic-development-in-tobago-incorporating-payment-horizons-choice-certainty-and-ex-post-interviews-in-discrete-choice-experiments","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/mangroves-and-economic-development-in-tobago-incorporating-payment-horizons-choice-certainty-and-ex-post-interviews-in-discrete-choice-experiments\/","title":{"rendered":"Mangroves and economic development in Tobago: Incorporating payment horizons, choice certainty and ex-post interviews in discrete choice experiments"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Governments have long faced potential trade-offs between economic development and protecting nature. This is particularly true for tropical and sub-tropical islands where most mangroves are found. Motivated by Trinidad and Tobago’s central government’s prior hotel development plans, we employ a discrete choice experiment (DCE) to investigate residents’ preferences for mangrove ecosystem services (ES) in the Bon Accord Lagoon and Buccoo Bay, Tobago. Preferences were investigated in the context of a trade-off between conserving mangroves and promoting economic development through a hypothetical hotel project in the study area. We use a Hierarchical Bayesian Logit Model, exploring two distinct payment horizons, 5 and 25-years, undertaken independently and also merged in models that allow for choice certainty and individual characteristics. We find that respondents have consistent willingness-to-pay (WTP) for mangrove ES and exhibit general insensitivity to the payment horizons due to perceived disbenefits associated with mangrove loss from hotel development. The DCE and ex-post (follow-up) interviews suggest that there is strong public support for policies aimed at long-term protection of mangroves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Niko Howai, Kelvin Balcombe, Elizabeth J.Z. Robinson, Mangroves and economic development in Tobago: Incorporating payment horizons, choice certainty and ex-post interviews in discrete choice experiments, Ecological Economics, Volume 236, 2025, 108693, ISSN 0921-8009,
https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ecolecon.2025.108693.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\n

Motivated by Trinidad and Tobago’s central government’s prior hotel development plans, the authors of this paper employ a discrete choice experiment (DCE) to investigate residents’ preferences for mangrove ecosystem services (ES) in the Bon Accord Lagoon and Buccoo Bay, Tobago.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":0,"template":"","tags":[4953,2034,4319,1047,4952],"publication-type":[436],"topic_area":[4698,4700,4699],"class_list":["post-78648","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry","tag-discrete-choice-experiment","tag-ecosystem-services","tag-mangrove","tag-nature","tag-trinidad-and-tobago","publication-type-research-articles","topic_area-behavioural-responses","topic_area-land-and-oceans","topic_area-biodiversity"],"acf":{"show_translations_widget":{"ref_value":"field_6203d588c41e8","value":"0","type":false,"post_type":""},"downloads":{"ref_value":"field_52f16cc1a80f2","value":false,"type":"repeater","post_type":""},"rss_newsletter":{"ref_value":"field_54f5c2c1544d8","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_link":{"ref_value":"field_52f164b5189e9","value":["elizabeth-robinson"],"type":"relationship","post_type":"profile"},"article_link":{"ref_value":"field_52eee3c7f0586","value":"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0921800925001764","type":false,"post_type":""},"article_link_title":{"ref_value":"field_5322399d89d42","value":"external link to article","type":false,"post_type":""},"spotlight":{"ref_value":"field_52f80896506d3","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""}},"yoast_head":"\nMangroves and economic development in Tobago: Incorporating payment horizons, choice certainty and ex-post interviews in discrete choice experiments - 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