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{"id":3929,"date":"2011-08-01T16:39:37","date_gmt":"2011-08-01T16:39:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?post_type=publication&p=3929"},"modified":"2024-08-16T11:09:00","modified_gmt":"2024-08-16T10:09:00","slug":"scientific-uncertainty-a-users-guide-working-paper-56","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/scientific-uncertainty-a-users-guide-working-paper-56\/","title":{"rendered":"Scientific uncertainty: a user’s guide"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Working Paper 56<\/h2>\n

Abstract<\/h2>\n
There are different kinds of uncertainty. This paper outlines some of the various ways that uncertainty enters science, focusing on uncertainty in climate science and weather prediction.<\/p>\n
The paper goes on to show how we cope with some of these sources of error through sophisticated modelling techniques. The paper shows how to maintain confidence in the face of error.<\/p>\n
Seamus Bradley<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\n
Working Paper 56 Abstract There are different kinds of uncertainty. This paper outlines some of the various ways that uncertainty…<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"author":43,"featured_media":0,"template":"","tags":[178,104,269],"publication-type":[435],"topic_area":[4690],"class_list":["post-3929","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry","tag-climate-science","tag-modelling","tag-uncertainty","publication-type-working-papers","topic_area-climate-science-and-impacts"],"acf":{"downloads":{"ref_value":"field_52f16cc1a80f2","value":["https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/WP56_scientific-uncertainty-users-guide.pdf"],"type":"download","post_type":""},"profile_link":{"ref_value":"field_52f164b5189e9","value":["scientific-uncertainty-a-users-guide-working-paper-56"],"type":"relationship","post_type":""},"spotlight":{"ref_value":"field_52f80896506d3","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"exclude_from_sync":{"ref_value":"field_560538b0e7350","value":"0","type":false,"post_type":""},"rss_newsletter":{"ref_value":"field_54f5c2c1544d8","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""}},"yoast_head":"\nScientific uncertainty: a user's guide - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/scientific-uncertainty-a-users-guide-working-paper-56\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scientific uncertainty: a user's guide - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Working Paper 56 Abstract There are different kinds of uncertainty. 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