{"id":15057,"date":"2015-06-08T07:16:11","date_gmt":"2015-06-08T07:16:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?post_type=publication&#038;p=15057"},"modified":"2024-08-19T14:59:41","modified_gmt":"2024-08-19T13:59:41","slug":"chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d: structural change, better growth, and peak emissions"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"><p><strong>Headline issue<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>China has grown rapidly &ndash; often at double-digit rates &ndash; for more than three decades<br>\nby following a strategy of high investment, strong export orientation and energy-intensive&nbsp;manufacturing. While this growth lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty, it also heightened problems of inequality &ndash; personal, regional and urban-rural &ndash; and intensified pollution, congestion and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.<\/p>\n<p>Recognising these difficulties, as well as the maturation of China&rsquo;s economy in terms of skills, productivity and rising wages, and slower growth in some of China&rsquo;s traditional export markets, the economic strategy has changed. China has now entered a new phase of economic development &ndash; a &ldquo;new normal&rdquo; &ndash; focused on better quality growth. From structural changes in the economy to explicit policies on efficiency, air pollution and clean energy, China&rsquo;s new development model is continuing to promote economic growth while driving down its GHG emissions.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key findings<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>China is moving decisively to a &ldquo;new normal&rdquo; &ndash; a development model based on the notion of better quality growth.<\/li>\n<li>Under China&rsquo;s new development model, its GHG emissions are likely to peak by 2025, and could well peak earlier than that.<\/li>\n<li>China&rsquo;s transformation has profound implications for the global economy, and greatly increases the prospects for keeping global GHG emissions within relatively safe limits.<\/li>\n<li>To reduce its emissions at a rapid rate, post-peak, China will need to deepen its planned reforms in cities and in the energy system, supported by a concerted approach to clean innovation, green finance and fiscal reforms.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"><p>Study shows that China has entered a new phase of economic development &ndash; continuing to promote economic growth while driving down its GHG emissions.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":8259,"template":"","tags":[291,154,701,448],"publication-type":[1682],"topic_area":[4694,4705,4706],"class_list":["post-15057","publication","type-publication","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-carbon-emissions","tag-china","tag-economic-development","tag-economic-growth","publication-type-policy-publications","topic_area-policy-evaluation","topic_area-leadership","topic_area-major-emitting-countries"],"acf":{"downloads":{"ref_value":"field_52f16cc1a80f2","value":["https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/China_new_normal_web1.pdf"],"type":"download","post_type":""},"rss_newsletter":{"ref_value":"field_54f5c2c1544d8","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_link":{"ref_value":"field_52f164b5189e9","value":["fergus-green","nicholas-stern"],"type":"relationship","post_type":"profile"},"spotlight":{"ref_value":"field_52f80896506d3","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"exclude_from_sync":{"ref_value":"field_560538b0e7350","value":"0","type":false,"post_type":""}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d: structural change, better growth, and peak emissions - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d: structural change, better growth, and peak emissions - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Study shows that China has entered a new phase of economic development - continuing to promote economic growth while driving down its GHG emissions.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-08-19T13:59:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/china1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"367\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"207\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\\\/\",\"name\":\"China\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d: structural change, better growth, and peak emissions - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2014\\\/05\\\/china1.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-06-08T07:16:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-08-19T13:59:41+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2014\\\/05\\\/china1.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2014\\\/05\\\/china1.jpg\",\"width\":367,\"height\":207},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/publication\\\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Publications\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/?post_type=publication\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Policy publication\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/?publication-type=policy-publications\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":4,\"name\":\"China\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d: structural change, better growth, and peak emissions\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/\",\"name\":\"Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\",\"description\":\"The Grantham Research Institute at LSE carries out world-class research on climate change and the environment.\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.lse.ac.uk\\\/granthaminstitute\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"China\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d: structural change, better growth, and peak emissions - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"China\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d: structural change, better growth, and peak emissions - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","og_description":"Study shows that China has entered a new phase of economic development - continuing to promote economic growth while driving down its GHG emissions.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/","og_site_name":"Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","article_modified_time":"2024-08-19T13:59:41+00:00","og_image":[{"width":367,"height":207,"url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/china1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Estimated reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/","url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/","name":"China\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d: structural change, better growth, and peak emissions - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/china1.jpg","datePublished":"2015-06-08T07:16:11+00:00","dateModified":"2024-08-19T13:59:41+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/china1.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/china1.jpg","width":367,"height":207},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/chinas-new-normal-structural-change-better-growth-and-peak-emissions\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Publications","item":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?post_type=publication"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Policy publication","item":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?publication-type=policy-publications"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":4,"name":"China\u2019s \u201cnew normal\u201d: structural change, better growth, and peak emissions"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/","name":"Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment","description":"The Grantham Research Institute at LSE carries out world-class research on climate change and the environment.","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-GB"}]}},"taxonomies":{"post_tag":["carbon emissions","China","Economic development","economic growth"],"publication-type":["Policy publication"],"topic_area":["Policy evaluation","Leadership","Major emitting countries"]},"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/05\/china1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/15057","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publication"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/15057\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":73937,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/15057\/revisions\/73937"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8259"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15057"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15057"},{"taxonomy":"publication-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication-type?post=15057"},{"taxonomy":"topic_area","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/topic_area?post=15057"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}