{"id":59383,"date":"2022-04-04T14:54:59","date_gmt":"2022-04-04T13:54:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?post_type=profile&#038;p=59383"},"modified":"2025-06-24T14:04:16","modified_gmt":"2025-06-24T13:04:16","slug":"francisco-de-melo-virissimo","status":"publish","type":"profile","link":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/profile\/francisco-de-melo-virissimo\/","title":{"rendered":"Francisco de Melo Vir\u00edssimo"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"><p>Francisco is a mathematician and environmental scientist, with a primary interest in climate and ocean phenomena.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Francisco joined GRI in November 2021. Since then, much of his work has been focused on climate prediction, particularly on computational ensemble design and uncertainty quantification, as tools to provide robust and reliable knowledge to climate information users and consumers (such as economists, decision makers and journalists).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At GRI, Francisco co-leads the &pound;1.97m UKRI\/Defra-funded&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/attenuate\/\">ATTENUATE<\/a>&nbsp;project, a collaborative consortium focused on unlocking private sector investment in UK climate adaptation. Central to this project is the creation of mathematically\/physically robust climate storylines, which communicate evolving climate information and will play a key role in testing adaptation finance solutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Other current projects and roles include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Project Member,&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/jetzon.org\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">JETZON&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>&nbsp;Ocean BCP Benchmark, Working Group 1;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Chair,&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/ima.org.uk\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">IMA&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>&nbsp;Special Interest Group on &ldquo;Climate, Environment and Sustainability&rdquo;;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Associate Member,&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scienceinparliament.org.uk\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Parliamentary &amp; Scientific Committee&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Lead editor, cross-journal EGU special issue on&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/esd.copernicus.org\/articles\/special_issue1278.html\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">&ldquo;Theoretical and computational aspects of ensemble design, implementation, and interpretation in climate science&rdquo;&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Co-editor, J. Phys. focus issue on&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/collections\/jpcomplex-240919-670\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">&ldquo;Mathematics of Planet Earth: Theory, Data, and Models&rdquo;&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Editor,&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/jetzon.org\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">JETZON&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>&nbsp;Newsletter.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Background<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Francisco graduated with a BSc in Pure Mathematics and an MSc in Applied Mathematics, both from the&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/www5.usp.br\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">University of Sao Paulo&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>&nbsp;(USP), and with a PhD in Mathematics from the&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bath.ac.uk\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">University of Bath&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>. Following his PhD, Francisco spent the first few years of his postdoctoral career working as a Research Scientist for the UK&rsquo;s&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/noc.ac.uk\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">National Oceanography Centre&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>(NOC), before joining GRI in 2021. Francisco is also a Visiting Fellow at the&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/www.incline.iag.usp.br\/en\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Interdisciplinary Climate Investigation Centre&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>(INCLINE) at USP, and has previously been a visitor at the NOC, the&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/www.newton.ac.uk\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Isaac Newton Institute&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>&nbsp;(INI), and the&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/ufpr.br\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Federal University of Parana&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>&nbsp;(UFPR) in southern Brazil.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His research experience spans areas such as applied dynamical systems, computational mathematics, climate dynamics, marine biogeochemical cycles and fluid mechanics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The quality of his research has been recognised by several awards over the years, including a prestigious STEM for BRITAIN Award in the Houses of Parliament in 2024 for &ldquo;quality of mathematical work&rdquo; on climate prediction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition to his scientific work, Francisco has a broad experience of service to community in his areas of expertise and in different roles. In particular, he has served as Councillor and Trustee&#65279;&nbsp;for the&nbsp;<a class=\"link link--external\" rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/ima.org.uk\/\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"\">Institute of Mathematics and its Applications&#65279;&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>&nbsp;(IMA), which is the professional and learned society for Mathematics in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Research interests<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Modelling of ocean and climate phenomena: from conceptual modelling (e.g.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/sapm.12266\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Stud. Appl. Math.<\/em>, 2019<\/a>) to state-of-the-art global models (e.g.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.2204369119\"><em>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA<\/em>, 2022<\/a>);&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Theoretical foundations of climate prediction and uncertainty quantification (e.g.&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.5194\/egusphere-egu23-14755\"><em>EGU<\/em>, 2023<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1175\/BAMS-D-24-0064.1\"><em>Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.<\/em>, 2025<\/a>);<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Marine biogeochemistry and the ocean&rsquo;s carbon cycle (e.g.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2021GB007101\"><em>Global Biogeochem. Cy.<\/em>, 2022<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2023GL107050\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Geophys. Res. Lett.<\/em>, 2024<\/a><a class=\"link link--external\" rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1029\/2021GB007101\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"\">&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a>);&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Differential equations, nonlinear dynamics and chaos (e.g.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1098\/rspa.2019.0594\"><em>Proc. Royal Soc. A<\/em>, 2020<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1063\/5.0180870\"><em>Chaos AIP<\/em>, 2024<\/a>)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Knowledge exchange in Earth and Environmental Sciences (e.g.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/publication\/ima-supports-ke-with-marine-biogeochemistry\/\"><em>Math. Today<\/em>, 2022<\/a>).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"><p>Francisco is a mathematician and environmental scientist, with a primary interest in climate and ocean phenomena.&nbsp; Francisco joined GRI in&hellip;<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":60421,"menu_order":508,"template":"","tags":[],"profile-type":[4715],"topic_area":[4692,4690,4700,4699],"class_list":["post-59383","profile","type-profile","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","profile-type-adaptation-and-resilience","topic_area-adaptation-and-resilience","topic_area-climate-science-and-impacts","topic_area-land-and-oceans","topic_area-biodiversity"],"acf":{"exclude_from_sync":{"ref_value":"field_560538b0e7350","value":"0","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_academic_title":{"ref_value":"field_5320659849110","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"first_name":{"ref_value":"field_52f42c108837d","value":"Francisco ","type":false,"post_type":""},"last_name":{"ref_value":"field_52f42c1b8837e","value":"de Melo Vir\u00edssimo","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_job_title":{"ref_value":"field_52f63316a9b87","value":"Research Fellow","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_email":{"ref_value":"field_52f63329a9b88","value":"F.De-Melo-Virissimo@lse.ac.uk","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_telephone":{"ref_value":"field_52f6bf5cd6bd3","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_room":{"ref_value":"field_52f6bf6cd6bd4","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_website":{"ref_value":"field_52f63363a9b89","value":false,"type":"repeater","post_type":""},"profile_citation":{"ref_value":"field_5315325b3ec9a","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""},"profile_new_role":{"ref_value":"field_5ede34bb5a2ff","value":"","type":false,"post_type":""}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Francisco de Melo Vir\u00edssimo - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/profile\/francisco-de-melo-virissimo\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Francisco de Melo Vir\u00edssimo - Grantham Research Institute on climate change and the environment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Francisco is a mathematician and environmental scientist, with a primary interest in climate and ocean phenomena.&nbsp; 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