{"id":8112,"date":"2014-05-13T20:58:49","date_gmt":"2014-05-13T20:58:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/?page_id=8112"},"modified":"2014-05-28T18:40:45","modified_gmt":"2014-05-28T18:40:45","slug":"understanding-climate-models","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/granthaminstitute\/research\/understanding-climate-models\/","title":{"rendered":"Understanding climate models"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"><p>This research topic recognises that working with and understanding climate models remains central to the design of a rational response strategy to climate change.<\/p>\n<p>The Institute will continue to collaborate closely with climate scientists by studying the value and use of climate information and add a decision\/policy angle to scientific research.<\/p>\n<p>The research will explore:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>The value of climate models for informing decision-making and policy (both adaptation and mitigation);<\/li>\n<li>The priorities for future climate research, and;<\/li>\n<li>Approaches to quantify and deal with uncertainty.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Formally, work on climate science and modelling will be led by the LSE <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lse.ac.uk\/CATS\/home.aspx\" target=\"_blank\">Centre for the Analysis of Time Series (CATS)<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Publications<\/h2>\n<p>Stainforth D. A., 2014. Climate projection: testing climate assumptions. <em>Nature Climate Change<\/em>, 4, pp. 248&ndash;249. <a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/nclimate\/journal\/v4\/n4\/full\/nclimate2172.html\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">External link to article &#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Stainforth D. A., Chapman S. C., and Watkins, N. W., 2013. Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions. <em>Environmental Research Letters<\/em>. <a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/cats.lse.ac.uk\/homepages\/david2\/publications\/StainforthEtAl_ERL_2013_MappingCC.pdf\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">External link to article&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a> PDF<\/p>\n<p>Daron J. D. and Stainforth, D. A., 2013. On predicting climate under climate change. <em>Environmental Research Letters<\/em>. <a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/cats.lse.ac.uk\/homepages\/david2\/publications\/Daron_and_Stainforth_ERL_2013.pdf\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">External link to article&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a> PDF<\/p>\n<p>Calel, R., Stainforth, D.A., and Dietz, S., 2013. Tall tales and Fat tails: The science and economics of extreme warming. <em>Climatic Change<\/em>. <a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/cats.lse.ac.uk\/homepages\/david2\/publications\/CalelEtAl_2013_ClimaticChange.pdf\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">External link to article&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a> PDF<\/p>\n<p>Millner, A., Calel, R., Stainforth, D., and MacKerron, G., 2013. Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists&rsquo; uncertainty about climate change? <em>Climatic Change<\/em>, 116(2), pp.427-436.&nbsp; <a class=\"link link--external\" href=\"https:\/\/cats.lse.ac.uk\/homepages\/david2\/publications\/MillnerEtAl_ClimaticChange_2012_FinalManuscript.pdf\" aria-describedby=\"link-description-new-window\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">External link to article&#65279;<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M14.42 1.04L3.2.7a.8.8 0 00-.8.76v.1a.8.8 0 00.76.7l9.39.3L.93 14.16c-.3.3-.3.8 0 1.1l.09.08c.3.23.73.2 1.01-.07L13.65 3.65l.29 9.4a.8.8 0 00.8.76.79.79 0 00.77-.8L15.17 1.8a.82.82 0 00-.75-.76z\" fill=\"#2e3152\"><\/path><\/svg><\/a> PDF<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<?xml encoding=\"UTF-8\"><p>This research topic recognises that working with and understanding climate models remains central to the design of a rational response&hellip;<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"author":43,"featured_media":0,"parent":532,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"topic_area":[],"class_list":["post-8112","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - 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