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DTEND;TZID=Europe/London:20200311T140000
UID:https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/?post_type=event&p=48456
DTSTAMP;TZID=Europe/London:20260405T153115Z
LOCATION:Pankhurst House\, 1.04\, London School of Economics\, Clement’s Inn\, London WC2A 2AZ
DESCRIPTION:<strong>We regret that this even has been cancelled</strong>

<a href="https://www.sprinz.org">Detlef Sprinz</a> will be discussing the paper <em>Can the Paris Agreement deliver the 2⁰C goal following US withdrawal?</em>

<strong>Abstract</strong>
Using a novel agent-based model\, we study how US withdrawal might influence the political process established by the Paris Agreement\, and hence the prospects for reaching the collective goal to limit warming below 2<span style="font-family: 'Cambria Math'\,serif\;">⁰</span>C. Our model enables us to analyse to what extent reaching this goal despite US withdrawal would place more stringent requirements on other core elements of the Paris cooperation process. We find\, first\, that the effect of a US withdrawal depends critically on the extent to which member countries reciprocate others' promises and contributions. Second\, while the 2<span style="font-family: 'Cambria Math'\,serif\;">⁰</span>C goal will likely be reached only under a very small set of conditions in any event\, even temporary US withdrawal will further narrow this set significantly. Reaching this goal will then require other countries to step up their ambition at the first opportunity and to comply nearly 100% with their pledges\, while maintaining high confidence in the Paris Agreement's institutions. Third\, although a US withdrawal will first primarily affect the United States' own emissions\, it will eventually prove even more detrimental to other countries' emissions.
URL;VALUE=URI:https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/events/detlef-sprinz-rss/
SUMMARY:Can the Paris Agreement deliver the 2⁰C goal following US withdrawal? | Detlef Sprinz – cancelled
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/London:20200311T123000
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