48049513426_d00144a67b_o

Past Events

Reading the 2019 election polls

In November 2019 the Department of Methodology held a joint event in the Hong Kong Theatre with the British Polling Council.

The event offered an opportunity ahead of the 2019 UK general election, one of the most difficult to poll in living memory, for academics and pollsters to outline their methodology ahead of election day.

Speakers explained that high levels of voter volatility and the emergence of new party alignments made sampling, measurement and weighting more difficult to get right. Speakers also outlined the ways in which they intended to take on and address the challenges they faced. This gave the audience an insight as polls closed and the election produced a result that many in the media and wider public had not expected.

We are proud that this event was successful and well attended. More information is available in on the Department of Methodology Twitter feed or at #LSEPolling.

Listed below is the schedule for the event:

13:00-13:15

Welcome and Introduction

Patrick Sturgis, LSE

13:15-13:45

Learning Lessons from the Past? The polls in the 2019 Election 

John Curtice, Strathclyde

13:45-14:15

Brexit Identities and party choice in the 2019 Election

Sara Hobolt, LSE

14:15-14:30

Kantar’s approach to polling the 2019 Election

Joel Williams, Kantar Public

14:30-15:00

 

Tea and coffee

15:00-15:15

Deltapoll’s approach to polling the 2019 Election

Joe Twyman, Deltapoll

15:15-15:30

YouGov’s approach to polling the 2019 Election

Anthony Wells, YouGov

15:30-16:00

Constructing and assessing seat level estimates

Ben Lauderdale/Jack Blumenau, UCL

16:00-16:30

The exit poll: will it be alright on the night?

Jouni Kuha, LSE