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The Signal and the Noise: the art and science of prediction

LSE Media Alumni Group public conversation

Date: Monday 29 April 2013 
Time: 6.30-8pm 
Venue: Old Theatre, Old Building
Speaker: Nate Silver
Chair: Professor Craig Calhoun

In this age of information-overload, Silver argues it is more difficult than ever to distinguish a true "signal" from the noisy universe of data. Silver shows that by embracing uncertainty, and being alert to the role that motivations and biases can play in warping predictions, we will be less likely to repeat the mistakes of the past.

Nate Silver is a statistician and political forecaster at The New York Times. In 2012, he correctly predicted the outcome of 50 out of 50 states during the US presidential election, trumping the professional pollsters and pundits. He was named one of TIME's 100 Most Influential People in the world, and one of Rolling Stones' top Agents of Change. Silver graduated with Honors with a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of Chicago. He spent his third year at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His new book is The Signal and the Noise: the art and science of prediction.

The LSE Media Group is a special interest group set up for and run by LSE alumni who work or have an interest in the media industry. It is active in the UK and in the US. The Group is unusual in its embracing definition of the media to include advertising, journalism, public relations, new media, entertainment, publishing, marketing and other creative interests. 

If you are an interested in learning more about the LSE Media Group please email alumni@lse.ac.uk. 

Suggested hashtag for this event for Twitter users: #LSE538


A podcast of this event is available to download from The Signal and the Noise: the art and science of prediction.

Podcasts and videos of many LSE events can be found at the LSE Public Lectures and Events: podcasts and videos channel.

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This event has been certified for CPD purposes by the CPD Certification Service. Self-Assessment Record forms will be made available for delegates wishing to record further learning and knowledge enhancement for Continuing Personal and Professional Development (CPD) purposes. For delegates who wish to obtain a CPD Certificate of Attendance, it is the responsibility of delegates to register their details with a LSE steward at the end of the event and as of 1 September 2014 a certificate will be sent within 28 days of the date of the event attended by the CPD Certification Service.  If a delegate fails to register their details at the event, it will not prove possible to issue a certificate. (For queries relating to CPD Certificates of attendance after a request please phone 0208 840 4383 or email info@cpduk.co.uk).