Population Projections - 29 February 2008

29 February 2008

London School of Economics, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE

Presentations from the meeting are now available here, by following the hyperlink in the title of the presentation.

A PDF report of the meeting can be accessed here.


Morning - National Projections

9:30 Registration
9:45 Intro and Domestics (Jonathan Swan and Chris Shaw, ONSCD)
9:50 The 2006-based national projections and the challenges of an ageing population (Helen Bray & Shayla Goldring, ONSCD)
10:30 Results of the National Population Projections Expert Group questionnaire (Chris Shaw, ONSCD)

11:05 Morning coffee

11:20 Uncertain population forecasts (Nico Keilman, University of Oslo)
12:05 Design for a subnational population projection model for ethnic groups and for dealing with uncertainty in internal migration (Phil Rees, University of Leeds)

12:45 Lunch Break (lunch not provided)

Afternoon - Subnational Projections

13:45 London Projections (John Hollis, GLA)
14:30 POPGROUP and the bottom up approach - the Welsh Experience (Emma Arnell-Smith , Welsh Assembly Government)
15:00 Projections- local authority usage  - NB - the opinions expressed are the personal opinions of the author.(Greg Ball, Birmingham City Council)
15:30 Office for National Statistics Centre for Demography consultation on Subnational Population Projections (Jonathan Swan, ONSCD)
15:45 Introduction to Syndicate Sessions

15:50 Afternoon Tea

16:00 Syndicate Sessions on Projection Variants
a. Modelling Natural Change
b. Modelling Migration
c. Which variant approaches to take?
16:45 Syndicate Feedback and Discussion

17:15 Close