29 February 2008
London School of Economics, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE
Presentations from the meeting are now available here, by following the hyperlink in the title of the presentation.
A PDF report of the meeting can be accessed here.
Morning - National Projections
9:45 Intro and Domestics (Jonathan Swan and Chris Shaw, ONSCD)
9:50 The 2006-based national projections and the challenges of an ageing population (Helen Bray & Shayla Goldring, ONSCD)
10:30 Results of the National Population Projections Expert Group questionnaire (Chris Shaw, ONSCD)
11:05 Morning coffee
11:20 Uncertain population forecasts (Nico Keilman, University of Oslo)
12:05 Design for a subnational population projection model for ethnic groups and for dealing with uncertainty in internal migration (Phil Rees, University of Leeds)
12:45 Lunch Break (lunch not provided)
Afternoon - Subnational Projections
13:45 London Projections (John Hollis, GLA)
14:30 POPGROUP and the bottom up approach - the Welsh Experience (Emma Arnell-Smith , Welsh Assembly Government)
15:00 Projections- local authority usage - NB - the opinions expressed are the personal opinions of the author.(Greg Ball, Birmingham City Council)
15:30 Office for National Statistics Centre for Demography consultation on Subnational Population Projections (Jonathan Swan, ONSCD)
15:45 Introduction to Syndicate Sessions
15:50 Afternoon Tea
16:00 Syndicate Sessions on Projection Variants
a. Modelling Natural Change
b. Modelling Migration
c. Which variant approaches to take?
16:45 Syndicate Feedback and Discussion