ST304 Half Unit
Time Series and Forecasting
This information is for the 2017/18 session.
Dr Matteo Barigozzi COL.7.11
This course is compulsory on the BSc in Actuarial Science and BSc in Statistics with Finance. This course is available on the BSc in Business Mathematics and Statistics and BSc in Mathematics with Economics. This course is available as an outside option to students on other programmes where regulations permit and to General Course students.
2nd year statistics and probability
The course introduces the student to the statistical analysis of time series data and simple models. What time series analysis can be useful for; autocorrelation; stationarity, trend removal and seasonal adjustment, basic time series models; AR, MA, ARMA; invertibility; spectral analysis; estimation; forecasting; introduction to financial time series and the GARCH models; unit root processes.
20 hours of lectures and 10 hours of seminars in the LT.
There will be a reading week in week 6.
Written answers to set problems will be expected on a weekly basis.
Brockwell & Davis, Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting; Brockwell & Davis, Time Series: Theory and Methods.
C Chatfield, The Analysis of Time Series.
Exam (100%, duration: 2 hours) in the main exam period.
Student performance results
(2014/15 - 2016/17 combined)
|Classification||% of students|
Total students 2016/17: 84
Average class size 2016/17: 31
Capped 2016/17: No
Lecture capture used 2016/17: Yes (LT)
Value: Half Unit
- Problem solving
- Application of information skills
- Application of numeracy skills
- Commercial awareness
- Specialist skills