Phillips, Lawrence

Professor Lawrence Phillips  

Department

Position held

Emeritus Teacher

 

Experience keywords:

decision and risk analysis; decision conferencing; effective decision making; group processes and teamworking; management of change; option appraisal and evaluation; organisational structure; prioritisation and resource allocation; process consultancy and facilitation; strategy

Media experience:

Radio; TV

Contact Points

LSE phone number:

+44 (0)20 7955 7101

Publications

2016

Nutt, David J and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Balfour, David and Curran, H. Valerie and Dockrell, Martin and Foulds, Jonathan and Fagerstrom, Karl and Letlape, Kgosi and Polosa, Riccardo and Ramsey, John and Sweanor, David (2016) E-cigarettes are less harmful than smoking Lancet, 387 (10024). 1160-1162. ISSN 0140-6736

Hughes, David and Waddingham, E. and Mt-Isa, S. and Goginsky, Alesia and Chan, Edmond and Downey, Gerald and Hallgreen, C. E. and Hockley, K.S. and Juhaeri, J. and Lieftucht, Alfons and Metcalf, M.A. and Noel, R.A. and Phillips, L.D. and Ashby, Deborah and Micaleff, Alain (2016) Recommendations for benefit–risk assessment methodologies and visual representations Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety, 25 (3). 251-262. ISSN 1053-8569

Hughes, David and Talbot, S. and Mt-Isa, S. and Lieftucht, Alfons and Phillips, L.D. and Asiimwe, Alex and Hallgreen, C. E. and Downey, G. and Genov, G. and Hermann, Richard and Metcalf, M.A. and Noel, R.A. and Tzoulaki, I. and Ashby, Deborah and Micaleff, Alain (2016) Literature review of visual representation of the results of benefit–risk assessments of medicinal products Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety, 25 (3). 238-250. ISSN 1053-8569

2015

van Amsterdam, J. and Nutt, D. and Phillips, L.D. and van den Brink, W. (2015) European rating of drug harms Journal of Psychopharmacology, 29 (6). 655-660. ISSN 0269-8811

van Amsterdam, Jan and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Henderson, Graeme and Bell, James and Bowden-Jones, Owen and Hammersley, Richard and Ramsey, John and Taylor, Polly and Dale-Perera, Annette and Melichar, Jan and van den Brink, Wim and Nutt, David (2015) Ranking the harm of non-medically used prescription opioids in the UK Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology, 73 (3). 999-1004. ISSN 0273-2300

2014

Phillips, Lawrence D., and et al., (2014) Benefit-risk methodology project: update on work package 5: effects table pilot (phase I) EMA/74168/2014. European Medicines Agency, London.

Hughes, Diana and Waddingham, Ed, A., J. and Mt-Isa, Shahrul and Goginsky, Alesia and Chan, Edmond and Downey, Gerald and Hallgreen, Christine E. and Hockley, Kimberley S. and Juhaeri, Juhaeri and Lieftucht, Alfons and Metcalfe, Marilyn, A. and Noel, Rebecca, A. and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Ashby, Deborah and Micaleff, Alain (2014) IMI-PROTECT benefit-risk group recommendations report: recommendations for the methodology and visualisation techniques to be used in the assessment of benefit and risk of medicines PROTECT Consortium, London.

Levitan, Bennett and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Walker, Stuart (2014) Structured approaches to benefit-risk assessment: a case study and the patient perspective Therapeutic Innovation & Regulatory Science, 48 (5). 564-573. ISSN 2168-4790

Priest, Oliver and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Hanna, George B. (2014) Risks of using bedside tests to verify nasogastric tube position in adult patients European Medical Journal Gastroenterology, 3. 49-56. ISSN 2054-6203

Nutt, David J. and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Balfour, David and Curran, H. Valerie and Dockrell, Martin and Foulds, Jonathan and Fagerstrom, Karl and Letlape, Kgosi and Milton, Anders and Polosa, Riccardo and Ramsey, John and Sweanor, David (2014) Estimating the harms of nicotine-containing products using the MCDA approach European Addiction Research, 20 (5). 218-225. ISSN 1022-6877

Mt-Isa, Shahrul and Hallgreen, Christine E. and Wang, Nan and Callréus, Torbjörn and Genov, Georgy and Hirsch, Ian and Hobbiger, Stephen F. and Hockley, Kimberley S. and Luciani, Davide and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Quartey, George and Sarac, Sinan B. and Stoeckert, Isabelle and Tzoulaki, Ioanna and Micaleff, Alain and Ashby, Deborah (2014) Balancing benefit and risk of medicines: a systematic review and classification of available methodologies Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety, 23 (7). 667-678. ISSN 1053-8569

Mt-Isa, Shahrul and Hallgreen, Christine E. and Wang, Nan and Callréus, Torbjörn and Genov, Georgy and Hirsch, Ian and Hobbiger, Stephen F. and Hockley, Kimberley S. and Luciani, Davide and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Quartey, George and Sarac, Sinan B. and Stoeckert, Isabelle and Tzoulaki, Ioanna and Micaleff, Alain and Ashby, Deborah (2014) Balancing benefit and risk of medicines: a systematic review and classification of available methodologies Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety, 23 (7). 667-678. ISSN 10538569

2013

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2013) Benefit-risk modeling of medicinal products: methods and applications In: Sashegyi, Andreas and Felli, James and Noel, Rebecca, (eds.) Benefit-Risk Assessment in Pharmaceutical Research and Development. CRC Press, Boca Raton, 59-96. ISBN 9781439867945

Micaleff, Alain and Callreus, Tornbjorn and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Hughes, Diana and Hockley, Kimberley and Wang, Nan and Luciani, David (2013) IMI work package 5: report 1:b:iii benefit - risk wave 1 case study report: Raptiva® (efalizumab) PROTECT Consortium, London.

Mt-Isa, Shahrul and Peters, Ruth and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Chan, Kakit and Hockley, Kimberley S. and Wang, Nan and Ashby, Deborah and Tzoulak, Ioanna (2013) Review of visualisation methods for the representation of benefit-risk assessment of medication: Stage 1 of 2 PROTECT Consortium, London.

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Amzal, Billy and Asiimwe, Alex and Chan, Edmond and Chen, Chen and Hughes, Diana and Juhaeri, Juhaeri and Micaleff, Alain and Mt-Isa, Shahrul and Noel, Becky and Shepherd, Susan and Wang, Nan (2013) IMI work package 5: report 2:b:ii benefit - risk wave 2 case study report: Rosiglitazone PROTECT Consortium, London.

Mt-Isa, Shahrul and Hallgreen, Christine, E. and Asiimwe, Alex and Downey, Gerry and Genov, Georgy and Hermann, Richard and Hughes, Diana and Lieftucht, Alfons and Noel, Rebecca and Peters, Ruth and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Shepherd, Susan and Micaleff, Alain and Ashby, Deborah and Tzoulak, Ioanna (2013) Review of visualisation methods for the representation of benefit-risk assessment of medication: stage 2 of 2 PROTECT Consortium, London.

Beyer, A. R. and Fasolo, B. and Phillips, Lawrence D. and de Graeff, P. A. and Hillege, H. L. (2013) Risk perception of prescription drugs: results of a survey among experts in the European regulatory network Medical Decision Making, 33 (4). 579-592. ISSN 1552-681X

Phillips, L.D. and Fasolo, Barbara and Zafiropoulous, N. and Eichler, H.-G. and Ehmann, F. and Jekerle, V. and Kramarz, P. and Nicoll, A. and Lonngren, T. (2013) Modelling the risk-benefit impact of H1N1 influenza vaccines The European Journal of Public Health, 23 (4). 674-678. ISSN 1101-1262

2012

Phillips, Lawrence D., and et al., (2012) Benefit-risk methodology project: work package 4 report: benefit-risk tools and processes EMA/297405/2012 – Revision 1. European Medicines Agency, London.

Zafiropoulos, Nikolaos and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Pignatti, Francesco and Luria, Xavier (2012) Evaluating benefit-risk: an Agency perspective Regulatory Rapporteur, 9 (6). 5-8. ISSN 1742-8955

2011

Phillips, Lawrence D., and et al., (2011) Benefit-risk methodology project: work package 3 report: field tests EMA/718294/2011. European Medicines Agency, London.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2011) What is strategy? Journal of the Operational Research Society, 62 (5). 926-929. ISSN 0160-5682

Nutt, David J and Phillips, Lawrence D. and King, Leslie A (2011) Drugs and harm to society reply Lancet, 377 (7965). 555-555. ISSN 0140-6736

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2011) Group dynamics processes for improved decision making In: Cochran, James, J. and Cox, Louis Anthony and Keskinocak, Pinar and Kharoufeh, Jeffrey, P. and Cole Smith , J., (eds.) Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science. John Wiley & Sons, New York. ISBN 9780470400630

Phillips, Lawrence D., and et al., (2011) Benefit-risk methodology project: work package 2 report: applicability of current tools and processes for regulatory benefit-risk assessment EMA/549682/2010 - Revision 1. European Medicines Agency, London.

Phillips, Lawrence D., and et al., (2011) Benefit-risk methodology project: work package 1 report: description of the current practice of benefit-risk assessment for centralised procedure products in the EU regulatory network EMA/227124/2011. European Medicines Agency, London.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2011) The Royal Navy's Type 45 story: a case study In: Salo, Ahti and Keisler, Jeffrey and Morton, Alec, (eds.) Portfolio Decision Analysis: Improved Methods for Resource Allocation. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science (162). Springer-Verlag, New York, 53-57. ISBN 9781441999429

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Fasolo, Barbara and Zafiropoulos, Nikolaos and Beyer, Andrea (2011) Is quantitative benefit–risk modelling of drugs desirable or possible? Drug Discovery Today: Technologies, 8 (1). e3-e10. ISSN 1740-6749

2010

Hanna, George and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Priest, Olivier and Ni, Zhifang (2010) Improving the safety of nasogastric feeding tube insertion: Developing guidelines for the safe verification of feeding tube position - a decision analysis approach Imperial College London, London .

Ni, Zhifang and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Hanna, George (2010) The use of Bayesian networks in decision making In: Athanasiou, Thanos and Debas, H. and Darzi, Ara, (eds.) Key Topics in Surgical Research and Methodology. Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg, 351-359. ISBN 9783540719144

Nutt, David J and King, Leslie A and Phillips, Lawrence D. (2010) Drug harms in the UK: a multicriteria decision analysis Lancet, 376 (9752). 1558-1565. ISSN 0140-6736

2009

Morton, Alec and Phillips, Lawrence D. (2009) Fifty years of probabilistic decision analysis: a view from the UK Journal of the Operational Research Society, 60. S33-S40. ISSN 0160-5682

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2009) Moving away from traditional budgeting In: Qfinance: The Ultimate Resource. Bloomsbury Publishing, London. ISBN 9781849300001

Morton, Alec and Airoldi, Mara and Phillips, Lawrence D. (2009) Nuclear risk management on stage: a decision analysis perspective on the UK’s committee on radioactive waste management Risk Analysis, 29 (5). 764-779. ISSN 1539-6924

2007

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2007) Decision conferencing In: Edwards, Ward and Miles, Ralph F. and von Winterfeldt, Detlof, (eds.) Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 375-399. ISBN 9780521682305

Phillips, Lawrence D. and von Winterfeldt, Detlof (2007) Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research In: Edwards, Ward and Miles, Ralph F. and von Winterfeldt, Detlof, (eds.) Advances in Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Applications. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 71-80. ISBN 9780521682305

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Bana e Costa, Carlos A. (2007) Transparent prioritisation, budgeting and resource allocation with multi-criteria decision analysis and decision conferencing Annals of Operations Research, 154 (1). 51-68. ISSN 0254-5330

2006

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Egan, Michael and Airoldi, Mara (2006) MCDA decision conference COR006. Catalyze, Winchester, UK.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2006) How Raiffa's RAND memo led to a multi-criteria computer program Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, 14 (4-6). 185-189. ISSN 1057-9214

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Walker, S. and Cone, M. (2006) Benefits-risk assessment model for medicines: developing a structured approach to decision making Centre for Medicines Research International, Epsom, UK.

Morton, Alec and Phillips, Lawrence D. (2006) Constructing organisational preferences: a study of within-criterion weighting Working paper, LSEOR 06.82. Department of Operational Research, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. ISBN 0753020742

Phillips, Lawrence D. and von Winterfeldt, Detlof (2006) Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research Operational Research working papers, LSEOR 06.86. Operational Research Group, Department of Management, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. ISBN 0753020785

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2006) Decision conferencing Operational Research working papers, LSEOR 06.85. Operational Research Group, Department of Management, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. ISBN 0753020777

2005

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2005) Bayesian statistics In: Everitt, Brian and Howell, David, (eds.) Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, UK. ISBN 9780470860809

Phillips, Lawrence D. (2005) Bayesian belief networks In: Everitt, Brian and Howell, David, (eds.) Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, UK. ISBN 9780470860809

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Bana e Costa, Carlos A. (2005) Transparent prioritisation, budgeting and resource allocation with multi-criteria decision analysis and decision conferencing Operational Research working papers, LSEOR 05.75. Department of Operational Research, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK. ISBN 0753016974

2003

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Stock, Adrian (2003) Use of multi-criteria decision analysis in air quality policy Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, London.

1999

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Bartlett, Annie (1999) Decision making and mental health law In: Eastman, Nigel and Peay, Jill, (eds.) Law Without Enforcement: the Marginal Contribution of Law to Mental Health. Hart Publishing, London, 173-188. ISBN 9781901362756

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1999) Group elicitation of probability distributions: are many heads better than one? In: Shanteau, James and Mellors, Barbara and Schum, David, (eds.) Decision Science and Technology: Reflections on the Contributions of Ward Edwards. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Norwell, MA, 313-330. ISBN 9780792383994

1993

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1993) Decision theory and its relevance to pharmaceutical medicine In: Mann, R.D. and Rawlins, M.D. and Auty, R.M., (eds.) Textbook of Pharmaceutical Medicine. Parthenon Publishing Group, Lancashire, UK, 247-255. ISBN 9781850707028

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Phillips, Maryann C. (1993) Faciliated work groups: theory and practice Journal of the Operational Research Society, 44 (6). 533-549. ISSN 0160-5682

1992

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1992) On the generativeness of stratified systems theory In: Cang, Stephen and Cason, Kathryn and Jaques, Elliot, (eds.) Festschrift for Elliott Jaques. Cason Hall.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1992) Gaining corporate commitment to change In: Holtham, Clive, (ed.) Executive Information Systems and Decision Support. UNICOM applied information technology, vol. 1. Chapman & Hall. ISBN 9780412447709

1990

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1990) Decision analysis for group decision support In: Eden, Colin and Radford, Jim, (eds.) Tackling Strategic Problems: the Role of Group Decision Support. SAGE Publications. ISBN 9780803982604

Phillips, L.D. and Humphreys, P. and Embrey, D. and Selby, D.L. (1990) A socio-technical approach to assessing human reliability In: Oliver, Robert M. and Smith, James Q., (eds.) Influence Diagrams, Belief Nets and Decision Analysis. Wiley series in probability & statistics. John Wiley & Sons Ltd., West Sussex, UK, 253-276. ISBN 9780471923817

1989

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1989) People-centred group decision support In: Doukidis, Georgios I. and Land, Frank William and Miller, Gordon, (eds.) Knowledge-Based Management Support System. Ellis Horwood books in information technology. Ellis Horwood, Chichester, UK. ISBN 9780745805313

1986

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1986) Decision analysis and its applications in industry In: Mitra, Gautam, (ed.) Computer Assisted Decision Making: Expert Systems, Decision Analysis, Mathematical Programming. North-Holland. ISBN 9780444878878

1984

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1984) Decision support for managers In: Otway, Harry J, and Peltu, Malcolm, (eds.) The Managerial Challenge of New Office Technology. Butterworths, London, UK, 80-98. ISBN 9780408015332

Wright, G. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1984) Decision making: cognitive style or task specific behaviour In: Bonarius, H. and van Harten, G. and Smid, N., (eds.) Personality Psychology in Europe. Swets & Zeitlinger, Lisse, The Netherlands.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1984) A theory of requisite decision models Acta Psychologica, 56 (1-3). 29-48. ISSN 0001-6918

1983

Wright, G.N. and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Wisudha, Aylene (1983) Cultural comparisons on decision making under uncertainty In: Deregowski, J. and Dziurawiec, S. and Annia, R.C., (eds.) Explorations in Cross-Cultural Psychology. Swets and Zeitlinger, Lisse, The Netherlands, 387-402.

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1983) A theoretical perspective on heuristics and biases in probabilistic thinking In: Humphreys, P. and Svenson, O. and Vari, A., (eds.) Analysing and Aiding Decision Processes. Advances in psychology (no. 14). North-Holland Publishing Company, Oxford, UK, 525-544. ISBN 9780444865229

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Wisniewski, Thomas K. (1983) Bayesian models for computer-aided underwriting The Statistician, 32 (1/2). 252-263. ISSN 1962-2002

1982

Lichtenstein, Sarah and Fischhoff, Baruch and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1982) Calibration of probabilities: the state of the art to 1980 In: Kahneman, Daniel and Slovic, Paul and Tversky, Amos, (eds.) Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 306-334. ISBN 9780521284141

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1982) Requisite decision modelling: a case study Journal of the Operational Research Society, 33 (4). 303-311. ISSN 0160-5682

1980

Wright, George N. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1980) Cultural variation in probabilistic thinking: alternative ways of dealing with uncertainty International Journal of Psychology, 15 (4). 239-257. ISSN 0020-7594

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1980) Organisational structure and decision technology Acta Psychologica, 45 (1-3). 247-264. ISSN 0001-6918

1979

Wright, G.N. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1979) Cross-cultural differences in the assessment and communication of uncertainty Current Anthropology, 20 (4). 845-846. ISSN 0011-3204

Wright, George N. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1979) Personality and probabilistic thinking: an exploratory study British Journal of Psychology, 70 (2). 295-304. ISSN 0007-1269

1978

Wright, George N. and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Whalley, Peter C. and Choo, Gerry T. and Ng, Kee-Ong and Tan, Irene and Wisudha, Aylene (1978) Cultural differences in probabilistic thinking Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology, 9 (3). 285-299. ISSN 0022-0221

1977

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Wright, G.N. (1977) Cultural differences in viewing uncertainty and assessing probabilities In: Jungermann, Helmut and de Zeeuw, Gerard, (eds.) Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs. D. Reidel, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 507-515.

1976

Lindley, D.V. and Phillips, L.D. (1976) Inference for a Bernoulli process (a Bayesian view) The American Statistician, 30 (3). 112-119. ISSN 0003-1305

1974

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1974) Book review: empirical Bayes methods by J.S. Maritz Statistician, 23 (2). 141-142. ISSN 0039-0526

1973

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1973) Bayesian statistics for social scientists Thomas Nelson, London, UK. ISBN 9780690001372

1970

Phillips, Lawrence D. (1970) The ‘true probability’ problem Acta Psychologica, 34. 254-264. ISSN 0001-6918

1969

Gustafson, D.H. and Edwards, W. and Phillips, L.D. and Slack, W.V. (1969) Subjective probabilities in medical diagnosis IEEE Transactions on Man-Machine Systems, 10 (3). 61-65. ISSN 0536-1540

1968

Edwards, W. and Phillips, Lawrence D. and Hays, W.L. and Goodman, B.C. (1968) Probabilistic information processing systems: design and evaluation IEEE Transactions on Systems Science and Cybernetics, 4 (3). 248-265. ISSN 0536-1567

1966

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Hays, W.L. and Edwards, W. (1966) Conservatism in complex probabilistic inference IEEE Transactions on Human Factors in Electronics, 7 (1). 7-18. ISSN 0096-249X

Phillips, Lawrence D. and Edwards, Ward (1966) Conservatism in a simple probability inference task Journal of Experimental Psychology, 72 (3). 346-354. ISSN 0096-3445

1965

Edwards, W. and Lindman, H. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1965) Emerging technologies for making decisions In: New Directions in Psychology. Holt, Rinehart and Winston, New York, USA, 261-325.

1964

Edwards, W. and Phillips, Lawrence D. (1964) Man as tranducer for probabilities in Bayesian command and control systems In: Bryan, G.L. and Shelley, M.W., (eds.) Human Judgement and Optimality. John Wiley, New York, USA, 360-401.

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