Filter case studies by:

Share this
  • Share on Twitter
  • Share on facebook

Leonard Smith - Weather

Read their case study

Resources related to the case study:

About the author, department and centre

Personal webpage:

Statistics Department:

Centre for the Analysis of Time Series:

Relevant research

MS Roulston & LA Smith (2002) Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory, Monthly Weather Review 130 6: 1653.

MS Roulston, DT Kaplan, J Hardenberg & LA Smith (2003) Using Medium Range Weather Forecasts to Improve the Value of Wind Energy Production, Renewable Energy 29 (4) April 585.

MS Roulston, J Ellepola & LA Smith (2005) Forecasting Wave Height Probabilities with Numerical Weather Prediction Models, Ocean Engineering 32 (14-15), 1841.

J Bröcker & LA Smith (2007) Scoring Probabilistic Forecasts: The Importance of Being Proper Weather and Forecasting, 22 (2), 382.

J Bröcker & LA Smith (2008) From Ensemble Forecasts to Predictive Distribution Functions Tellus A 60(4): 663.

R Hagedorn & LA Smith (2009) Communicating the value of probabilistic forecasts with weather roulette. Meteorological Applications 16 (2): 143.

Evidence of impact

Example of ECMWF training involving weather roulette:

UK Met Office 3-month outlook (as example of impact):


Read their case study