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X-WR-CALNAME:Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method
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X-WR-CALDESC:Events for Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/London:20150226T140000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/London:20150226T160000
DTSTAMP:20161128T160400
CREATED:20150223T110132
LAST-MODIFIED:20150224T122752
UID:2498-1424959200-1424966400@www.lse.ac.uk
SUMMARY:Richard Bradley (LSE) and Casey Helgeson (LSE): Decision and Climate Change Assessments
DESCRIPTION:Thursday\, 26 February\, 2:00\nRichard Bradley (LSE) and Casey Helgeson (LSE)\, presenting work co-authored with Brian Hill (HEC\, Paris)\n\nDecision and Climate Change Assessments\n\nABSTRACT. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has adopted official guidelines for communicating uncertainties attached to the scientific findings that appear in their assessment reports. One novel feature of their approach is the use of ‘confidence’\, a second-order qualification that indicates the level of scientific understanding behind a claim. So far\, it is unclear how findings communicated in this format can be used to inform rational decisions. We explore how the IPCC guidelines fit together with a new\, confidence-based normative model of decision making (Hill\, 2013\, ‘Confidence and Decision’\, Games and Economic Behavior).
URL:http://www.lse.ac.uk/philosophy/events/richard-bradley-lse-and-casey-helgeson-lse-decision-and-climate-change-assessments/
LOCATION:Lakatos Building\, London\, WC2A 2AE\, United Kingdom
CATEGORIES:Managing Severe Uncertainty
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