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Richard Bradley (LSE) “Chances and Credences”

21 November, 4:30 pm6:00 pm

Abstract: In this talk I will defend two mutually supporting theses about the relation between chances and credences. The first is that chances should be identified with the judgements or credences of a (hypothetical) unbounded and fully informed perfect inductive reasoner and not with any of the possible grounds for her judgements, such as frequencies or propensities. The second is a conditional version of the Principal Principle, which says that that rational conditional belief given the evidence should go by the expectation of conditional chance given this evidence.

Details

Date:
21 November
Time:
4:30 pm – 6:00 pm
Event Category:

Organiser

CPNSS

Venue

LAK 2.06
Lakatos Building
London, WC2A 2AE United Kingdom
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Website:
http://www.lse.ac.uk/