Spending on social care and continuing health care for older people in England is projected to rise from £9.3 billion in 2010 to £12.7 billion in 2022, according to new research from LSE's Personal Social Services Research Unit.
This represents a rise in percentage of GDP from 0.74 per cent to 0.78 per cent and assumes that current patterns of care and the ONS principal population projections keep pace with expected demographic and unit cost pressures.
The report was published as part of wider research by the Nuffield Trust, showing that the NHS could experience a £44-£53 billion funding gap in 2021/22.
This will occur unless it delivers unprecedented productivity gains over the next decade, or public finances improve enough to allow health funding to increase faster than inflation, the report warns.
The figures were released alongside new polling data commissioned by the Trust which shows that the NHS is the number one area the public want to be protected from the cuts.
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Posted 3rd December 2012