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| PeoplePage contents > MAP2030 Research Team | MAP2030 Non-research partners | MAP2030 Advisory Group MAP2030 Research TeamJohn Adams Contact Ms Adelina Comas-Herrera Within the project, Adelina works on Work Package 5 'Projections of pensions, incomes, savings, informal care and use of long-term care by future cohorts of older people and of expenditure on pensions and long-term care'. Her work is concerned particularly with projections of disability and linkages with Work Package 2. This work builds on recent projections work undertaken with Professor Carol Jagger and other colleagues. Contact Mr Chris Curry Chris has significant experience of developing microsimulation models of the UK pensions system, having been involved in the development and use of the original PENSIM model at the DSS, and leading a 3-year project sponsored by the Nuffield Foundation to develop the PPI suite of models. Within the project Chris will lead the PPI input to Work Package 5, modelling the impact of potential state pension reforms. Contact Dr Mariachiara Di Cesare Her main research interests are family and reproductive behaviours, epidemiological transition in developing countries, happiness perception, adolescent fertility, and social vulnerability. She has a strong background in statistics methods especially event history analysis, multistate demography, and Boolean analysis. She worked with data surveys (DHS and CDC), Census, and vital statistics mainly in Latin America and Caribbean countries. Contact Professor Emily Grundy Previous appointments have been at the Institute of Gerontology, King’s College London and at City and Nottingham Universities. Emily’s main research interests are families, households and kin and social networks in later life, especially in relationship to health, and trends and differentials in health, disability and mortality at older ages. She is leader of the Centre for Longitudinal Study Information and User support (CeLSIUS) group which helps academics with projects based on use of the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study. She is also involved in collaborative work with others in the UK and Europe on various aspects of family histories and later life health. Emily is Chair of the European Association for Population Working Group on Demographic Change and the Care of Older People; a member of the Census Advisory Committee, the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing advisory committee and on the editorial boards of the European Journal of Ageing and People, Place and Space. Contact Professor Ruth Hancock Within the project she is contributing to Work Package 5: ‘Projections of pensions, incomes, savings, informal care and use of long-term care’ in which CARESIM will be further developed and used. Contact Professor Carol Jagger Within the project she leads Work Package 2 ‘Future disease patterns and their implications for disability in later life’. This builds on recent work forecasting the future burden of disability through changing patterns of disease as a background paper to the Wanless Review of Social Care ‘Securing Good Care for Older People: Taking a long-term view’ Contact Mr Sean James Contact Mr Derek King Derek has recently completed work looking at prescribing patterns of antipsychotics in the British NHS with Professor Martin Knapp and is currently researching service use patterns of people with psychosis and the adult economic consequences of antisocial behaviour in childhood and adolescence. As part of the Long-term Care Financing Research Team, he contributes to the modelling, in several studied, of future demand for long-term care for older people and its associated expenditure. Other areas of interest to Mr King are pharmaceutical policy, priority setting in health care, and private medical insurance markets. Within the project, he will work on Work Package 5: 'Projections of pensions, incomes, savings, informal care and use of long-term care by future cohorts of older people and of expenditure on pensions and long-term care'. This work builds on previous models and incorporates findings from the other Work Packages which will be investigating current trends in the drivers of demand for long-term care. It aims to produce projections of use of long-term care and informal care by future cohorts of older people; to produce unified projections of public and private expenditure on pensions and long-term care through linking macro-simulation and micro-simulation models; and to investigate the distributional and other implications of policy changes in these areas. Contact Professor James Lindesay Within the project he will be involved in Work Package 2 ‘Future disease patterns and their implications for disability in later life’. Contact Ms Juliette Malley Juliette is project co-ordinator for the study. She is also contributing to the development of the PSSRU model under Work Package 5. Contact Ms Ruth Matthews Ruth Matthews is a Research Fellow in the Leicester Nuffield Research Institute, University of Leicester. She has a BA in Mathematics from Durham University, and the MSc. Medical Statistics from London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. In her 8 years at Leicester University, Ruth has worked on a number of projects with a focus on the epidemiology of ageing, using various modelling techniques. Most recently, she worked with Carol Jagger on a programme of work aimed at forecasting the future burden of disability through changing patterns of disease. This contributed to the Wanless Review of Social Care ‘Securing Good Care for Older People: Taking a long-term view’. Within the project she is working with Carol Jagger on Work Package 2 ‘Future disease patterns and their implications for disability in later life’. Contact Dr Marcello Morciano Marcello’s research focus is Public Economics, Labour and Demographic Economics and Applied Microeconometrics. He is particularly interested in the microeconomic effects of the demographic transition process on pension and Long Term Care (LTC) schemes. He has an extensive experience in data analysis and in static and dynamic microsimulation techniques. Contact Professor Michael Murphy His main areas of research include: family, kinship and household demography; ageing; social and genetic mechanisms for the inheritance of behaviour; mathematical and statistical demography; methods of making and evaluating population and household forecasts; the demography of developed and transitional societies. Recent publications include work on morality crises in Russia; models for mortality forecasting in elderly populations; kinship differentials; intergenerational transfers between parents and children; and modelling the long-term effects of assortative mating, feedback mechanisms, and kinship correlations on population size and structure. He has acted as an adviser to a number of British National Government Departments, and to international organisations. Contact Ms Linda Pickard Linda has also completed work on policy options for informal carers for the Royal Commission on Long Term Care and, more recently, written reviews for the Audit Commission on the effectiveness of services for informal carers and on caring and employment. In addition, Linda is engaged on a doctoral thesis concerned with recent past trends in the provision of intergenerational care for older people by their children. Linda’s original training was in Social & Political Science at Cambridge University and in Sociology at the University of Oxford. Within the project, Linda Pickard works on Work Package 5 ‘Projections of pensions, incomes, savings, informal care and use of long-term care by future cohorts of older people and of expenditure on pensions and long-term care’. Her work is concerned particularly with receipt of informal and formal care, now and in the future. This work builds on recent projections work undertaken with colleagues at the LSE and elsewhere. Contact Dr Sanna Read Sanna’s research interests are motivation, trust, social networks, and health in old age. She has extensive experience in structural equation modelling. She has used a number of longitudinal and multivariate methods in large population samples, including twin, family and household samples. Contact Mr Raphael Wittenberg The programme aims to make projections of demand for long-term care for older people and associated expenditure to 2041. Within the programme he has looked at arrangements for financing long-term care in the UK and other countries. Raphael Wittenberg is also an Economic Adviser at the Department of Health (DH) for England. Within the study Raphael is a co-leader of Work Package 5 on long-term care and pensions projections. This builds on earlier work by PSSRU and the University of Essex for the Nuffield Foundation on paying for long-term care (see PSSRU Research Summary 40, available at www.pssru.ac.uk) Contact Ms Megan Challis Contact MAP2030 Non-research partnersShaun Butcher MAP2030 Advisory GroupThe MAP2030 advisory group is composed of leading academics and stakeholders from the UK, Europe and America. ^ Back to top
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