All pages with keywords: uncertainty

Consumption smoothing and the welfare cost of uncertainty

Consumption smoothing and the welfare cost of uncertainty

a working paper by Jonathan Colmer, Yonas Alem 4 September, 2015

When agents are unable to smooth consumption and have distorted beliefs about the likelihood of future income realisations, uncertainty about future states of the world has a direct effect on … read more »


Should climate policy account for ambiguity?

Should climate policy account for ambiguity?

a working paper by Antony Millner, Geoffrey Heal 25 August, 2015

Climate change is fundamentally an `out-of-sample’ problem – our available information does not tightly constrain predictions of the consequences of rapid increases in greenhouse gas concentrations. Moreover, the fact that … read more »


Grantham Seminar – “Integrated Assessment of Climate Change under Uncertainty”

Seminar 24 Apr 2015

Christian Traeger, Assistant Professor at the Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, will be the speaker for this seminar. Abstract from Christian’s paper: “Analytic Integrated Assessment and Uncertainty” … read more »


Coordination under threshold uncertainty in a public goods game

Coordination under threshold uncertainty in a public goods game

a working paper by Alessandro Tavoni 1 November, 2011

We explored experimentally how threshold uncertainty affects coordination success in a threshold public goods game. Whereas all groups succeeded in providing the public good when the … read more »