All pages with keywords: climate models


Risk Management and Climate Change

Risk Management and Climate Change

Policy Seminar David Stainforth, Simon Dietz 14 Jan 2014

event was hosted by the ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy and the Grantham Research Institute. A series of presentations, chaired by Nick Silver, (Director, Callund Consulting and … read more »


The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09

The Myopia of Imperfect Climate Models: The Case of UKCP09

a research article by David Stainforth 1 December, 2013

Frigg, R., L.A. Smith, D. A. Stainforth. In: Philosophy of Science, December 2013.


Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming

Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming

a research article by Raphael Calel, David Stainforth, Simon Dietz 21 September, 2013

It has recently been highlighted that the economic value of climate change mitigation depends sensitively on the slim possibility of extreme warming. This insight has been obtained through a … read more »


On predicting climate under climate change

On predicting climate under climate change

a research article by David Stainforth 21 August, 2013

Can today’s global climate model ensembles characterize the 21st century climate in their own ‘model-worlds’? This question is at the heart of how we design and interpret climate model … read more »




Book Review: The New North: Our World in 2050 by Laurence C. Smith

Book Review: The New North: Our World in 2050 by Laurence C. Smith

a commentary by Baran Doda 12 September, 2012

What kind of world do we want? This is the question with which Laurence Smith ends his new book, The New North. I like that ending. It does not prescribe but allows the reader to contemplate the world in 2050 as a malleable object. read more »


Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: Scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: Scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

a research article by Nicola Ranger 20 March, 2012

Current projections of long-term trends in Atlantic hurricane activity due to climate change are deeply uncertain, both in magnitude and sign. This creates challenges for adaptation planning in exposed … read more »


Pattern scaled climate change scenarios: are these useful for adaptation?

Pattern scaled climate change scenarios: are these useful for adaptation?

a working paper by Lenny Smith 1 December, 2011

Pattern scaling methods are being widely applied to generate scenarios of climate change for quantication of their impacts on different systems. While generic limitations of this … read more »


Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments

a working paper by Nicola Ranger 1 July, 2011

Current projections of long-term trends in Atlantic hurricane activity due to climate change are deeply uncertain, both in magnitude and sign. This creates challenges for adaptation … read more »