All pages with keywords: climate models
An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09
The United Kingdom Climate Impacts Programme’s UKCP09 project makes high-resolution projections of the climate out to 2100 by post-processing the outputs of a large-scale global climate model. The aim of … read more »
Climate change will ‘cost world far more than estimated’
Lord Stern says current models do not adequately reflect the science and the impact on global economies The Independent
What do economic models tell us?
“It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future” – so goes the saying. The same applies to economic modelling. This is not just the trite point that it … read more »
Alice Verweyen and Erica Thompson – Climate Models: some cautionary notes
Part of the LSE-Imperial Grantham PhD Seminar Series (Michaelmas term). Speakers: Alice Verweyen and Erica Thompson
Simon Buckle – Climate Mitigation: sustainable preferences and cumulative carbon
Part of the Climate Change and Environment Seminar Series (Lent term 2011), hosted jointly by the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, the Centre for Climate Change … read more »
Professor Leonard Smith – climate Models: Current science and common sense
ESRC Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy Lecture as part of ESRC Festival of Social Science Chair: Professor Nancy Cartwright, professor of philosophy at LSE Speaker: Professor Leonard Smith, … read more »
Assessing pricing assumptions for weather index insurance in a changing climate
We expose the benefits and limitations of the Bayesian Network approach, weather index insurance as an adaptation measure and climate simulations as a source of quantitative predictive information. Current climate model output is shown to be of limited value and difficult to use by index insurance practitioners. The method presented, however, is shown to be an effective tool for testing pricing assumptions and could feasibly be employed in the future to incorporate multiple sources of climate data. read more »
Probabilistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts
Operational seasonal forecasting centres employ simulation models to make probability forecasts of future conditions on seasonal to annual lead times. Skill in such forecasts is reflected … read more »
An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from state-of-the-art climate models
While state-of-the-art models of the Earth’s climate system have improved tremendously over the last twenty years, nontrivial structural flaws still hinder their ability to forecast the … read more »
