Modelling and decision making

Drawing good policy conclusions from scientific and economic models is a complex task.

The predictions of climate and economic models are inherently uncertain, and require careful interpretation by policy makers. This programme explores how uncertainties can be understood and quantified. The research aims to help decision makers manage uncertainty, and design policies that reflect the balance of risks.

Research topics

Research

Estimating the effect of air pollution on road safety using atmospheric temperature

This paper estimates the causal effect of increased ambient air pollution on the frequency of road traffic accidents in the United Kingdom between 2009 and 2014. read more »

Letter to Congressman Lamar Smith in regard to the testimony given by Dr Bjorn Lomborg to the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology

Lettter from Bob Ward, Policy and Communications Director of the Institute, raises concerns about “inaccurate and misleading claims” in the testimony submitted by Dr Bjorn Lomborg to the House of … read more »

What energy and climate change policies can we expect from President Trump?

The election on 8 November of Donald Trump as President of the United States has created great uncertainty about future American policies on energy and climate change. President-Elect Trump has … read more »