Publications
Assessing surface water flood risk and management strategies under future climate change: an agent-based model approach
Flooding is the costliest natural disaster worldwide. In the UK flooding is listed as a major risk on the National Risk Register with surface water flooding the most likely cause … read more »
Carbon Taxes, Path Dependency, and Directed Technical Change: Evidence from the Auto Industry
Can directed technical change be used to combat climate change? We construct new firm-level panel data on auto industry innovation distinguishing between “dirty” (internal combustion engine) and “clean” (e.g., electric, … read more »
Beyond the targets: assessing the political credibility of pledges for the Paris Agreement
This report provides the results of an analysis of “intended nationally determined contributions”, or INDCs, that were submitted by countries ahead of the Paris Agreement on climate change. read more »
Water resources transfers through southern African food trade: water efficiency and climate signals
We combine global hydrological model simulations with international food trade data to quantify the water resources embedded in international food trade in southern Africa and with the rest of the world, from 1986–2011. read more »
‘Green growth’ and the new Industrial Revolution
This policy brief summarises the main policy implications of a two-year research programme, sponsored by the Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI), which aimed to contribute to the growing evidence base on green growth. read more »
Well-being dynamics and poverty traps
This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical evidence on single and multiple equilibria poverty traps at the macro, meso, and, especially, micro levels. read more »
Climate change policy, innovation and growth
New clean technologies are urgently required to meet long-term global climate goals. Simulating the development of these technologies has become worldwide policy priority. This policy brief uses the … read more »
Spaces for Agreement: A Theory of Time-Stochastic Dominance and an Application to Climate Change
Many investments involve both a long time horizon and risky returns. Making investment decisions thus requires assumptions about time and risk preferences. Such assumptions are frequently contested, particularly in the … read more »
The competitiveness impact of a UK carbon price: what do the data say?
This paper explores the potential impact of a uniform £20 per tonne carbon price on fuels and production costs across all 106 industries that comprise the UK economy. read more »
Robustness of norm-driven cooperation in the commons
We assess the robustness of cooperation to environmental variability in a stylized model of a community that harvests a shared resource. read more »
