Emma Suckling
2014
Probabilistic skill in ensemble seasonal forecasts
Operational seasonal forecasting centres employ simulation models to make probability forecasts of future conditions on seasonal to annual lead times. Skill in such forecasts is reflected … read more »
An evaluation of decadal probability forecasts from state-of-the-art climate models
While state-of-the-art models of the Earth’s climate system have improved tremendously over the last twenty years, nontrivial structural flaws still hinder their ability to forecast the … read more »
