Scuola Normale Superiore di Pisa, Italy
Dates of visit: 02/02/2012 – 14/12/2012
Project Description: Under very specific conditions, probability constitutes a robustly justified model of uncertainty quantification. Yet, real-world decision-making abounds with complex problems in which probability appears to be of little applicability. I will tackle the question as to how we should extend probability to make rational decisions in those cases. This will throw new light on one of the most fundamental problems in the multifaceted field of uncertain reasoning: how to identify a satisfactory trade-off between foundational robustness and expressive power in the quantification of uncertainty.