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Past CATS Members and Associates

Please also see Visiting Appointments

Dr Hugo Maruri Aguilar

Research Officer on the CATS EPSRC funded project, MUCM, from 2006 to 2009, working with Professor Henry Wynn.

He is now lecturing in the Statistics Department at Queen Mary, University of London.


Dr Mary Altalo

Visiting Research Fellow to CATS from 2004 to 2006 and Programme Director of the LSE CATS and IOC/BPOS programme. She was Vice-Chair of the Board of the Intergovernmental Panel of the Global Ocean Observing System.



Dr Anna Andrianova

PhD student in CATS. She completed her thesis in 2009, entitled 'Simulation of temperature time-series on long time scales with application to pricing weather derivatives'.

Anna now works as a coal and freight options trader for RWE, an energy company that owns Npower and is the biggest utility company in Germany. 

Anthony Arkinson

Professor Anthony Atkinson

Visiting Professor to CATS from 2004 to 2006.

He is Emeritus Professor of the Department of Statistics at LSE, and a member of the Statistics Department since 1989. Although his main research interests are experimental design, clinical trials and robust data analysis using the Forward Search, he has an interest in the analysis of times series using the Kalman filter.







Dr Ron Bates

Senior Research Fellow in the Department of Statistics and CATS from 2003 to 2008, working with Professor Henry Wynn on a number of European and EPSRC funded projects.

He is currently working at Rolls Royce. His main research interests are: Robust Design; Design of Experiments; Spatial modelling (emulators, response surface methods, neural networks, etc.); Numerical Optimisation; Multiphysics modelling; Multivariate Process Control; Process Economics; Product Development Risk. He has a BSc in Electronic Engineering and a PhD in Robust design of complex systems.


Dr Neil Bathia

PhD student. He completed his thesis in 2010, entitled 'Factor modelling for high dimensional time series'.

He was a postdoctoral research fellow the University of Melbourne and was working on problems in high dimensional data analysis and model selection. He is currently a Quantitative Analyst at Google.



Dr Roman Binter 

PhD student. He completed his thesis in 2012, entitled 'Applied Probabilistic Forecasting'.



Dr Liam Clarke

Research Officer in CATS from 2003 to 2008, working on the EPSRC funded project REMIND and then the NERC funded project NAPSTER.

He is a Technical Specialist at the Bank of England. 


Joe daron

Dr Joseph Daron

PhD student in CATS. He completed his thesis in October 2011, entitled 'Examining the decision-relevance of climate model information for the insurance industry,' sponsored by Lloyd's of London. 

He is currently a senior scientist in the Climate Information for International Development team at the Met Office Hadley Centre. He was a postdoc for three years at the Climate Systems Analysis Group at the University of Cape Town as part of a team engaged in the development of climate services establishing relationships between scientists and decision makers across Africa.


Max Fehr

Dr Max Fehr

Research Assistant on the Munich Re programme 'Enabling Carbon Markets: efficient carbon trading systems and finance'.

He now works in the private sector in London.


Dr Neil Gordon

Senior Visiting Fellow to CATS

General Manager, Science Research and Development, at Meteorological Service of New Zealand Limited. He joined MetService in 1968, and has been a senior manager since 1988. He played a key role in its transition from a government department to a government-owned commercial company in 1992. From then until 2005, as General Manager National Weather Services, he was responsible for the delivery of public good services under a commercial contract with the New Zealand government. He currently runs the MetService Advanced Technology division which incorporates training, the Automated Meteorological Prediction Systems group, and development and support of the Weatherscape television weather graphics system. Neil has been involved in CAeM since 1983; he was vice President from 1990 to 1999, and President from 1999 to 2006. He has also been actively involved in PWS activities including expert teams and in-country training events, and co-authored a publication on performance assessment of public weather services.


Dr Jost Graf von Hardenberg

Worked with CATS on applications of prediction research in the European theatre (precipitation) and print work with ECMWF.

He is a researcher at the Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, CNR, Turin, Italy.


Dr Daniel Hawellek (Bruynooghe)

PhD student. He completed his thesis in 2011, entitled 'Differential cumulants, hierarchical models and monomial ideals.' 

He has studied economics, mathematics and statistics in Hamburg, Cambridge and at LSE. His research interests are local moments, cumulants and dependency structures. He is currently a Quantitative Analyst at Citigroup.


Dr Sarah Higgins

PhD student in CATS (part-time). Sarah completed her thesis in 2015.

Thesis title: 'Limitations to seasonal weather prediction and crop forecasting due to nonlinearity and model inadequacy'. 

Alex Jarman

Dr Alex Jarman

PhD student involved in the CCCEP (Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy) research project entitled 'On the Provision, Reliability, and Use of Hurricane Forecasts on Various Timescales', sponsored by reinsurance company, Munich Re. Alex was awarded his doctorate in 2014.

He graduated with a Physics degree from the University of Auckland, followed by a Masters in Applied Meteorology at the University of Reading where he was awarded a NERC studentship. His research interests include forecast evaluation and decision-making with forecast information, nonlinear time series analysis, and the physics and predictability of weather and climate.


Dr Devin Kilminster

Dr Kilminster carried out joint research on CATS' NOAA and UCAR-funded projects on prediction and forecasting from 2003 to 2006, and was a Visiting Fellow from 2004 to 2006.



Dr Frank Kwasniok

Research Officer in CATS and subsequently a Visiting Fellow from 2004 to 2006.

Previously he held research positions at the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research (Bremerhaven, Germany), the University of Oldenburg (Germany), the Leibniz Institute for Atmospheric Physics (Kuehlungsborn, Germany) and the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (Hamburg, Germany). He joined the University of Exeter in March 2006 as a Lecturer in Applied Mathematics. He is a member of the Exeter Climate Systems Centre and the Centre for Geophysical and Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics.


Dr Ana Lopez

Research Officer in CATS.She has expertise in probabilistic climate change projections and their use in the quantification of future impacts and adaptation to climate change. Her previous experience includes research in theoretical physics in different universities in USA, Argentina and UK, and more recently as a Tyndall Research Fellow at Oxford University, where she explored different approaches to identify the difficulties and potentialities of using large ensembles of climate models to project impacts of climate change, quantify their uncertainty, and extract robust and relevant information to develop adaptation pathways in different systems, with a focus on water resource management and biodiversity. Her research interests include climate model validation and evaluation, predictability measures and limits to predictability, temporal and spatial limits for impacts relevant climate model information, vulnerability approaches to mitigation and adaptation to climate change, and the intersection between climate science and decision making under deep uncertainty.


Dr Christian Merkwirth

Heis currently a postdoctoral researcher at the Department for Information Technology of the Jagiellonian University (UJ), Poland. He obtained the German doctorate degree in 2000 from the University of Goettingen, Germany. He is a physicist with strong experience in numerical methods and computer science. His teaching experience comprises various aspects of computer science, statistical /machine learning, applied data analysis, operating system principles as well as programming in C++. His key research areas are statistical learning/machine learning, time series forecasting and nonlinear dynamics.


Dr Jeremy Penzer

Jeremy started working at LSE in 1995 as a Research Assistant to Professor Atkinson. He took up a lectureship in 1997 and in 1998 became the Programme Director for the MSc in Statistics. During his time as an academic, his research interests were state space modelling and applied time series analysis. While at LSE, Jeremy taught and developed a large number of courses.

He left LSE in 2007 to pursue a career in financial services.

Arthur Petersen

Professor Arthur Petersen

Munich Re Visiting Professor. Until 2014 he worked as Chief Scientist at the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. 

He is now Professor of Science, Technology and Public Policy at University College London (UCL Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy - STEaPP).

Further details: Homepage

Contact details: Email


Dr Emma Suckling

Research Officer in CATS from 2010 to 2013.

Her research interests include developing informative forecast systems for the EQUIP project, which brings together climate modelling, statistical modelling and impacts communities to deliver risk-based prediction for decision making in the face of climate variability and change.  She is a physicist by training, having pursued both her undergraduate degree and a PhD in theoretical nuclear physics at the University of Surrey.

She is now a postdoctoral research scientist within NCAS-Climate at the Department of Meteorology, University of Reading.



Dr Swenja Surminski

Senior Research Fellow in CCCEP/ CATS with focus on the Munich Re programme.

Further details: Homepage

Contact details: Email



Dr Edward Tredger

PhD Student in CATS. He completed his thesis in 2009, entitled 'On the evaluation of uncertainties in Climate Models'. 

He is currently a Senior Pricing Actuary at Novae. 



Professor Howell Tong

The founding member of CATS in 2000. 

Emeritus Professor of Statistics at LSE.



Professor Qiwei Yao

Professor of Statistics at LSE

His research interests include: time series analysis; non-parametric regression; dimension reduction and factor modelling; spatio-temporal modelling; financial econometrics.



Dr Roland Young

Research Officer in CATS in 2009.

He is now back in Oxford where he did his DPhil, working as a postdoc in Peter Read's group. He has moved from studying the rotating annulus to studying the dynamics of giant planet atmospheres (specifically Jupiter and Saturn) using general circulation models. 


Dr  Noha Youssef

Research Officer in CATS working on the Research Councils UK funded project MUCM (Managing Uncertainty in Complex Models) with Professor Henry Wynn.

Her PhD at LSE was on 'Optimal experimental design for computer experiments'. She obtained her MSc from Cairo University on handling incomplete data for longitudinal studies.