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Talks and Presentations 2015 - 2017

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17-20 October 2017 - Leonard Smith will be giving an invited talk entitled 'Reconsidering the Aims of Weather Prediction, Again' at Numerical Modeling, Predictability and Data Assimilation in Weather, Ocean and Climate: A Symposium Honoring the Legacy of Anna Trevisan, 17-20 October 2017, Bologna, Italy. Abstract.

2 October 2017 - Leonard Smith and Dr Gavin Schmidt will be giving a talk entitled 'Analyst, Advocate or Activist: how can a scientist support (good) climate policies?', 6.30-8.00pm, Wolfson Theatre, New Academic Building, LSE.

7 September 2017 - Leonard Smith gave a talk entitled 'Against the wind with Bob: wishing I knew I couldn't know then what I know I can't know now. (Rethinking the aims of simulation forecasting)' at Rosnerfest - a 70th birthday celebration for Robert Rosner, 7-8 September 2017, University of Chicago, Chicago.

21 August 2017 - Leonard Smith gave a talk entitled 'Science, Simulation and Insight: Developing Confidence when Extrapolating Complicated Complex Systems' at the SAMSI CLIM Opening Workshop, Durham, North Carolina, USA. Abstract.

3 August 2017 - Leonard Smith and Hailiang Du will give an invited talk entitled 'Rising above chaotic likelihoods' at JSM 2017, 29 July-3 August 2017, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.

30 May 2017 - Leonard Smith gave a Special MEAS/Physics Seminar entitled 'Prediction, Predictability and Insight: from the Lab to the Globe' at NC State University, North Carolina, USA. Abstract.

20-21 March 2017 - Leonard Smith took part in discussions with congressmen as part of the ASA Advisory Committee on Climate Change Policy (ACCCP) 7th annual Climate Science Day meeting, Capitol Hill, Washington DC.

15 March 2017 - Leonard Smith gave a lecture entitled 'Coping with deep uncertainty: jellyfish, super-storms and nuclear stewardship', as part of LSE Works, LSE. Watch the video.

6 February 2017 - Leonard Smith gave a talk entitled 'Prediction, Predictability and Probability: A Dynamical Systems View' at the University of Durham.

30 January 2017 - David Stainforth and Mark Roulston were speakers at Winton Capital's 'Creating a Climate Prediction Market' event, London.


14 December 2016 - Leonard Smith gave a talk entitled 'Chaos in weather forecasting' at the Royal Meteorological Society 'Chaos and Confidence in Weather Forecasting' meeting at Imperial College London.

10 November 2016 - Leonard Smith took part in the Oxford University Press (OUP) Second Oxford Philosophy Festival 'speed dating' event, which aimed to answer the question 'What's Philosophy got to do with...Anything?', 7-12 November 2016, Blackwell's Bookshop, Oxford.

14 September 2016 - Leonard Smith gave a talk entitled 'The Bayesian Way: Imprecision and Ambiguity' at the 'Data-Intensive Science and Technologies' workshop, Science and Technology Facilities Council, Didcot, UK.

22-24 August 2016 - Leonard Smith participated in a workshop on 'Limits to Prediction' at the Santa Fe Institute, New Mexico.

4 August 2016 - Leonard Smith was a discussant at the 2016 Joint Statistical Meetings, 30 July-4 August 2016, Chicago.

3 August 2016 - Henry Wynn gave a talk entitled 'The LCM filtration for the cut distribution of networks and its dual' at the 2016 Joint Statistical Meetings, 30 July-4 August 2016, Chicago.

18 July 2016 - Ed Wheatcroft gave a presentation entitled 'The Central Role of Data Assimilation in Probabilistic Forecasting' at the 5th International Symposium on Data Assimilation, 18-22 July 2016, University of Reading.

7 July 2016 - Ed Wheatcroft gave a talk entitled 'Gauging Limitations of Imperfect Model Prediction with Sculpted Ensembles' at the CliMathNet Conference 2016, 5-8 July 2016, Exeter.

5-8 July 2016 - Nick Watkins presented a poster entitled 'Fact versus formula in the power spectra of complex systems' at the CliMathNet Conference 2016, Exeter.

19-22 June 2016 - Leonard Smith gave two talks entitled: 'Sculpted Ensembles: exploiting a modern data assimilation technique to enhance early warning of high impact events' and 'Prediction, Projection and Probability: Quantifying uncertain scientific insights regarding the far future' at the 36th International Symposium on Forecasting, Santander, Spain.

19-22 June 2016 - Ed Wheatcroft gave a talk entitled 'Moving Beyond Bayes: On the combination of probabilistic forecasts given imperfect models' at the 36th International Symposium on Forecasting, Santander, Spain.

15-16 June 2016 - Leonard Smith gave a talk entitled 'From Termites and Penguins to Blocking and the Andes: Interpreting Models of the Earth System' at the Alpine Summer School 'Cross-Scale Interactions in the Coupled Geosphere-Biosphere System', Valsavarenche, Aosta Valley, Italy.

6 May 2016 - Leonard Smith gave a presentation entitled 'Pragmatic Predictability (in the real world)' at the Computation Institute, University of Chicago.

16 March 2016 - Dr Ralph Rayner was a Co-Chair on the organising committee of the 'Catch the Next Wave' Conference 2016, Royal Institution, London.

13-18 March 2016 - CATS was involved in organising a workshop entitled 'Improving the Quantitative Interpretation of Simulation Models' at the Banff International Research Station, Canada.

23 February 2016 - Leonard Smith gave a talk entitled 'Just Enough Decisive Information: flexible response via GLIMPSE' and took part in the 'Global perspectives: risk and uncertainty roundtable' at the 'Flood and Coast 2016: Risk, Resilience and Response in a Changing Climate' Conference, Telford. See talk slides.

9-10 February 2016 - Leonard Smith took part in discussions with congressmen as part of the ASA Advisory Committee on Climate Change Policy (ACCCP) 6th Annual Climate Science Day 2016 meeting, Capitol Hill, Washington DC.


21 October 2015 - Leonard Smith talked about building confidence at the 'Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change Attribution' workshop for the U.S. National Academy of Sciences Committee, Washington DC.

8 October 2015 - Leonard Smith gave a keynote talk entitled 'Doing Science in the Dark' at the 3rd National eScience Symposium, Amsterdam.

6-10 September 2015 - Members of CATS gave the following talks at a mini symposium at the Dynamic Days Europe Conference, Exeter. Leonard Smith 'Pragmatic Bayes: Embracing with Model Inadequacy in Nonlinear Dynamical Systems' & 'Data Assimilation: What is the point?';  David Stainforth 'On quantifying the local climate response in observations and models': Ed Wheatcroft 'On the chance of rain: Probability forecasts in an operational setting' and Hailiang Du 'Data Assimilation for Imperfect models'. 

2 September 2015 - Leonard Smith hosted a discussion on 'Five factions of Forecasters: How Climate Science suffers from Disharmony amongst the Mathematical Sciences', Computation Institute, University of Chicago.

9-11 July 2015 - Leonard Smith gave a talk entitled 'Pragmatic Bayes: towards extracting insight, if not numbers, from models which neither V nor V' at the 'How to Build Trust in Computer Simulations Towards a General Epistemology of Validation' Conference, Hannover, Germany. Abstract.

7-10 July 2015 - David Stainforth co-organised a session and presented two posters and a talk at the 'Our Common Futures Under Climate Change' Conference, Paris.

7-9 June 2015 - David Stainforth gave a presentation at the workshop on 'Assessing the Climate via Models, Prediction, Understanding, and Simulation Modeling' at the Center for Interdisciplinary Studies, Bielefeld University, Germany.

2 June 2015 - Ofer Engel gave a presentation with Professor Jeff French entitled 'How to make district heating and cooling matter to citizens and communities' at the CELSIUS social marketing event, Rotterdam.

14-15 May 2015 - David Stainforth was co-organiser of a workshop on 'Advancing Integrated Assessment Modeling' in Dartington, Devon, part of the EPSRC ReCoVER network. 

23 April 2015 - Ofer Engel gave a presentation entitled 'Heating and Cooling in the European Energy Transition: The Role for District Heating and Cooling' at the CELSIUS node group meeting at the Greater London Authority.

25 March 2015 - David Stainforth gave a lecture entitled 'Confidence from Uncertainty: Separating what we know from what we don't know about climate change', at the 'Galerkin Methods with applications in weather and climate forecasting' workshop at the International Centre for Mathematical Sciences, Edinburgh.

10-11 February 2015 - Leonard Smith took part in discussions with congressmen as part of the ASA Advisory Committee on Climate Change Policy (ACCCP) 5th Annual Climate Science Day 2015 meeting, Capitol Hill, Washington DC.

30 January 2015 - Nick Watkins gave a seminar entitled 'Madelbrot's other model of 1/f noise, and why it still matters' at MPIPKS, Dresden.

28 January 2015 - Erica Thompson gave a talk entitled 'The mystery of the missing (probability) mass: Understanding what the IPCC actually said about climate in 2100' at the 'Calculating and Communicating Uncertainty' Conference, London.

5 January 2015 - Leonard Smith gave an invited keynote talk entitled 'Anticipating Equilibrium Systems (Clarity Before Consensus)' and David Stainforth gave a presentation at the 'Non-equilibrium Dynamics of Climate: linking models to data' workshop 5-7 January 2015, Dartington Hall, Devon. 













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