CATS members gave a number of presentations at EGU 2007. Abstracts submitted to EGU 2007 sessions:
Nonlinear processes in geophysics (NP)
Simple dynamical models from data: a tool for parametrizations and diagnostics (NP4.03)
Cuellar, M.C., Du, H., Judd, K. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Parameter Estimation in Nonlinear Systems using Shadowing Time|'
Quantifying predictability (NP5.01)
Andrianova, A., Binter, R. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Benchmarks for Weather Forecasts in the medium range and beyond|'
Binter, R., Broecker, J., Penzer, J. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Contrasting methods of ensemble interpretation|'
Broecker, J. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Increasing Reliability of Reliability Diagrams|'
Broecker, J. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'On the relative value of a High Resolution Forecast in an Ensemble Prediction System|'
Broecker, J. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Scoring Probabilistic Forecasts: The Importance of Being Proper|'
Smith, L.A., Du, H., Binter, R., Clarke, L. and Broecker, J. (2007) 'A framework for investigating: "How large should an ensemble be?|'
Machete, R., Broecker, J., Kilminster, D., Smith, L.A. and Moroz, I.M. (2007) 'Quantifying Predictability using Multiple Ensembles under different Models: Limitations on the value of Probabilistic Forecasting|'
Data assimilation in the presence of nonlinearities (NP5.02)
Broecker, J. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'From Ensembles to Predictive Distribution Functions|'
Du, H. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Data assimilation: using Indistinguishable States to solve Berliner's problem of chaotic likelihoods|'
Du, H., Judd, K., Khare, S. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Nowcasting with Indistinguishable States|'
Climate: past, present and future (CL)
Monthly, seasonal and decadal forecasting (CL2)
Higgins, S., Broecker, J., Clarke, L., Judd, K., Weisheimer, A. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Blending ensembles from multiple models|'
Probabilistic Forecasts of Climate and the Potential Impacts of Climate Change (CL20)
Broecker, J. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Software for Constructing Forecasts from Ensembles: the EMTOOL|'
Cuellar, M.C. and Lopez, A. (2007) 'Extraction of uncertain information and potential impacts from a GCMs Physical Ensemble|'
Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Relating the diversity in our models to the uncertainty in our future|'
Smith, L.A., Tredger, E., Penzer, J. and Stainforth, D. (2007) 'Urns and experimental design in climate science|'
Tredger, E., Smith, L.A. and Stainforth, D. (2007) 'The impact of initial conditions in climate modelling|'
Climate Models Intercomparison: Dynamics and Physical Processes (CL40)
Lopez, A., Cuellar, M.C. and Lizcano, G. (2007) 'Towards a consistent dynamics in a GCM perturbed physics ensemble|'
Hawellek, D. and Smith, L.A. (2007) 'Tracing the history of estimated climate sensitivity|'
Tredger, E., Smith, L.A. and Stainforth, D. (2007) 'Investigating variations in heat flux adjustment in the climatepredition.net ensemble|'